Value bet: Sestao River to win @ 2.80 – our chance 46% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSestao River to win ✗46% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20% · fair 4.95
Compostela vs Sestao River: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Compostela welcome Sestao River for a Segunda División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Sunday 20 September (16:00 WAT). In the table, Compostela are 5th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Sestao River are 1st (leading the league) with 25.
Current form
Compostela, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Portugalete, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Sestao River, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Comillas, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sestao River, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.8 for Compostela.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Compostela 0.6 xG, Sestao River 0.9 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Compostela 28%, draw 26%, Sestao River 46%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Sestao River to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (54%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Compostela 0–0 Sestao River. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Compostela28%fair 3.56 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.70
Sestao River46%fair 2.17 · @2.80
1.50Expected goals
0.59Compostela xG
0.91Sestao River xG
46%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–022%
0–120%
1–013%
1–112%
0–29%
1–25%
From our goals model: Compostela 0.6 – 0.9 Sestao River expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sestao River to win✗
46%
2.17
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.65
Draw no bet
Sestao River (draw no bet)✗
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Compostela +1 (Asian handicap)✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
Sestao River to score first✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
57%
1.75
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
29%
3.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
20%
4.95
–
Recent results
Compostela – last 6
DDLLLW
13 Sep
@ Portugalete
0–0
D
9 Sep
vs Derio
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Marino de Luanco
0–3
L
18 Jul
vs Deportivo La Coruna
0–4
L
21 Jun
@ Badalona II
0–2
L
14 Jun
vs Badalona II
3–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sestao River – last 6
WWDWWD
16 Sep
@ Comillas
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Real Oviedo II
2–0
W
9 Sep
@ Badalona II
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Racing Santander II
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Derio
1–0
W
11 Aug
@ Gimnástica Torrelavega
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Compostela and Sestao River.
What is the prediction for Compostela vs Sestao River?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Compostela vs Sestao River?
On our numbers Compostela have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sestao River 46%.
How many goals will there be in Compostela vs Sestao River?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Compostela vs Sestao River?
Our predicted score is Compostela 0–0 Sestao River, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Compostela vs Sestao River?
Compostela vs Sestao River (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
