Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultGernika to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceGernika or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Gernika vs Llanera: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Llanera travel to face Gernika on Sunday 20 September in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Gernika are 11th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Llanera are 13th (lower half) with 10. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Gernika, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Arosa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Llanera, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Deportivo Alavés II, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gernika 2.3 xG, Llanera 1.2 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 52% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gernika 60%, draw 25%, Llanera 14%.
Lower-risk option: Gernika or draw (86%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Gernika to win (60%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.66, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gernika 2–1 Llanera. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gernika60%fair 1.66 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @3.00
Llanera14%fair 7.03 · @4.33
3.50Expected goals
2.34Gernika xG
1.16Llanera xG
52%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–08%
1–18%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Gernika 2.3 – 1.2 Llanera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gernika to win✓
60%
1.66
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Gernika or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.85
Draw no bet
Gernika (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Gernika -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
First team to score
Gernika to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Gernika ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gernika / FT Gernika✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.43
–
Recent results
Gernika – last 6
WDDDLD
13 Sep
@ Arosa
4–0
W
6 Sep
vs Bergantiños
2–2
D
3 May
vs Deportivo Alavés II
0–0
D
26 Apr
@ Basconia
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs UD Logroñés
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Sestao River
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Llanera – last 6
LLDWDW
13 Sep
vs Deportivo Alavés II
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Gimnástica Torrelavega
1–2
L
18 Aug
@ Sporting Gijón II
2–2
D
14 Aug
@ Avilés Stadium
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Llanes
0–0
D
2 Apr
@ L'Entregu
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gernika and Llanera.
Our pick is Gernika to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Gernika vs Llanera?
On our numbers Gernika have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Llanera 14%.
How many goals will there be in Gernika vs Llanera?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gernika vs Llanera?
Our predicted score is Gernika 2–1 Llanera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Gernika vs Llanera?
Gernika vs Llanera (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
