Value bet: Bergantiños to win @ 3.00 – our chance 35% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGimnástica Torrelavega to win ✗41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.69
Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Bergantiños: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 20 September the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 brings Gimnástica Torrelavega against Bergantiños. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Gimnástica Torrelavega are 18th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 10 matches; Bergantiños are 4th (among the top four) with 18. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Gimnástica Torrelavega, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Eibar II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Bergantiños, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to UD Santa Marta, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gimnástica Torrelavega 1.2 xG, Bergantiños 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnástica Torrelavega 41%, draw 23%, Bergantiños 35%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Bergantiños to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnástica Torrelavega 1–1 Bergantiños. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gimnástica Torrelavega41%fair 2.42 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Bergantiños35%fair 2.83 · @3.00
2.25Expected goals
1.18Gimnástica Torrelavega xG
1.07Bergantiños xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Gimnástica Torrelavega 1.2 – 1.1 Bergantiños expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gimnástica Torrelavega to win✗
41%
2.42
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.75
Draw no bet
Gimnástica Torrelavega (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Bergantiños +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Gimnástica Torrelavega to score first✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gimnástica Torrelavega / FT Gimnástica Torrelavega✗
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.69
–
Recent results
Gimnástica Torrelavega – last 6
LWWDWW
12 Sep
@ Eibar II
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Llanera
2–1
W
14 Aug
@ Bezana
1–0
W
11 Aug
vs Sestao River
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Basconia
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs Sporting Gijon
5–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Bergantiños – last 6
LWWDWL
16 Sep
@ UD Santa Marta
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Amorebieta
1–0
W
9 Sep
vs Leioa
5–0
W
6 Sep
@ Gernika
2–2
D
3 May
@ Sámano
5–0
W
26 Apr
vs UD Ourense
1–3
L
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnástica Torrelavega and Bergantiños.
What is the prediction for Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Bergantiños?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Bergantiños?
On our numbers Gimnástica Torrelavega have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bergantiños 35%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Bergantiños?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Bergantiños?
Our predicted score is Gimnástica Torrelavega 1–1 Bergantiños, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Bergantiños?
Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Bergantiños (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
