Atlético Astorga vs Amorebieta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atlético Astorga welcome Amorebieta for a Segunda División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Saturday 3 October (16:00 WAT). In the table, Atlético Astorga are 17th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 10 matches; Amorebieta are 7th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
Atlético Astorga, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sestao River, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Amorebieta, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ourense CF, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlético Astorga 1.2 xG, Amorebieta 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético Astorga 36%, draw 26%, Amorebieta 38%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.77, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético Astorga 1–1 Amorebieta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlético Astorga36%fair 2.74 · @2.80
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.70
Amorebieta38%fair 2.66 · @2.60
2.38Expected goals
1.18Atlético Astorga xG
1.20Amorebieta xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Atlético Astorga 1.2 – 1.2 Amorebieta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Amorebieta to win✓
38%
2.66
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Amorebieta (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Atlético Astorga +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Amorebieta to score first✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Amorebieta / FT Amorebieta✗
21%
4.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.70
–
Recent results
Atlético Astorga – last 6
LWLLLW
26 Sep
@ Sestao River
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Marino de Luanco
3–0
W
13 Sep
@ Basconia
2–3
L
5 Sep
vs Portugalete
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Palencia CF
0–1
L
26 Aug
vs Salamanca UDS
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Amorebieta – last 6
LWLDLW
26 Sep
vs Ourense CF
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Racing Santander II
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Bergantiños
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Arosa
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Athletic Club II
0–1
L
3 May
@ Mutilvera
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético Astorga and Amorebieta.
What is the prediction for Atlético Astorga vs Amorebieta?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Atlético Astorga vs Amorebieta?
On our numbers Atlético Astorga have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Amorebieta 38%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Astorga vs Amorebieta?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Astorga vs Amorebieta?
Our predicted score is Atlético Astorga 1–1 Amorebieta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Atlético Astorga vs Amorebieta?
Atlético Astorga vs Amorebieta (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
