Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultBasconia to win ✗60% · @1.55
Double chanceBasconia or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.44
Basconia vs Llanera: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Llanera travel to face Basconia on Saturday 3 October in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Basconia are 9th, upper half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Llanera are 13th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Basconia, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Marino de Luanco, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Llanera, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Racing Santander II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Basconia 2.3 xG, Llanera 1.2 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Basconia 60%, draw 21%, Llanera 18%.
Lower-risk option: Basconia or draw (82%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Basconia 2–1 Llanera. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Basconia60%fair 1.66 · @1.55
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @4.00
Llanera18%fair 5.41 · @4.75
3.50Expected goals
2.28Basconia xG
1.22Llanera xG
64%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Basconia 2.3 – 1.2 Llanera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Basconia to win✗
60%
1.66
1.55
Double chance
Basconia or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.55
1.67 ▲
Draw no bet
Basconia (draw no bet)
77%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Basconia -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
First team to score
Basconia to score first
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Basconia ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Basconia / FT Basconia✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.44
–
Recent results
Basconia – last 6
WDWLDL
27 Sep
@ Marino de Luanco
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs Arosa
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Atlético Astorga
3–2
W
6 Sep
@ Ourense CF
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Racing Santander II
3–3
D
8 Aug
@ Gimnástica Torrelavega
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Llanera – last 6
WLLLDW
27 Sep
vs Racing Santander II
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Gernika
0–4
L
13 Sep
vs Deportivo Alavés II
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Gimnástica Torrelavega
1–2
L
18 Aug
@ Sporting Gijón II
2–2
D
14 Aug
@ Avilés Stadium
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Basconia and Llanera.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Basconia vs Llanera?
On our numbers Basconia have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Llanera 18%.
How many goals will there be in Basconia vs Llanera?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Basconia vs Llanera?
Our predicted score is Basconia 2–1 Llanera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Basconia vs Llanera?
Basconia vs Llanera (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
