Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 2.00 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
2.00Odds
Picks by market
ResultGimnástica Torrelavega to win ✗43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.24
Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Marino de Luanco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Gimnástica Torrelavega v Marino de Luanco in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1. In the table, Gimnástica Torrelavega are 18th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 10 matches; Marino de Luanco are 16th (in the drop zone) with 8. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Gimnástica Torrelavega, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Real Oviedo II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Marino de Luanco, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Basconia, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Gimnástica Torrelavega, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Marino de Luanco.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gimnástica Torrelavega 1.6 xG, Marino de Luanco 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnástica Torrelavega 43%, draw 23%, Marino de Luanco 34%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.68, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnástica Torrelavega 1–1 Marino de Luanco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gimnástica Torrelavega43%fair 2.34 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
Marino de Luanco34%fair 2.91 · @3.10
3.00Expected goals
1.60Gimnástica Torrelavega xG
1.40Marino de Luanco xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: Gimnástica Torrelavega 1.6 – 1.4 Marino de Luanco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gimnástica Torrelavega to win✗
43%
2.34
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Gimnástica Torrelavega (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Marino de Luanco +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Gimnástica Torrelavega to score first✗
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gimnástica Torrelavega / FT Gimnástica Torrelavega✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.24
–
Recent results
Gimnástica Torrelavega – last 6
DLLWWD
27 Sep
@ Real Oviedo II
3–3
D
20 Sep
vs Bergantiños
0–3
L
12 Sep
@ Eibar II
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Llanera
2–1
W
14 Aug
@ Bezana
1–0
W
11 Aug
vs Sestao River
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Marino de Luanco – last 6
LLLWLL
27 Sep
vs Basconia
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Atlético Astorga
0–3
L
13 Sep
vs Ourense CF
0–2
L
6 Sep
@ Compostela
3–0
W
8 Aug
vs Ponferradina
0–3
L
1 Aug
@ Sporting Gijón II
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnástica Torrelavega and Marino de Luanco.
What is the prediction for Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Marino de Luanco?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Marino de Luanco?
On our numbers Gimnástica Torrelavega have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Marino de Luanco 34%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Marino de Luanco?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Marino de Luanco?
Our predicted score is Gimnástica Torrelavega 1–1 Marino de Luanco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Marino de Luanco?
Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Marino de Luanco (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
