Value bet: Coruxo to win @ 3.40 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBergantiños to win ✓46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.98
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.22
Bergantiños vs Coruxo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 4 October the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 brings Bergantiños against Coruxo. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Bergantiños are 4th, among the top four, on 18 points after 10 matches; Coruxo are 14th (lower half) with 9.
Current form
Bergantiños, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Portugalete, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Coruxo, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gernika, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Bergantiños, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Coruxo.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Bergantiños 0–1 Coruxo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bergantiños 1.4 xG, Coruxo 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bergantiños 46%, draw 23%, Coruxo 32%.
Price worth noting: Coruxo to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bergantiños 1–1 Coruxo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bergantiños46%fair 2.19 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.20
Coruxo32%fair 3.15 · @3.40
2.59Expected goals
1.44Bergantiños xG
1.15Coruxo xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Bergantiños 1.4 – 1.1 Coruxo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Bergantiños vs Coruxo?
On our numbers Bergantiños have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Coruxo 32%.
How many goals will there be in Bergantiños vs Coruxo?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bergantiños vs Coruxo?
Our predicted score is Bergantiños 1–1 Coruxo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Bergantiños vs Coruxo?
Bergantiños vs Coruxo (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
