Gernika vs Sestao River: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gernika welcome Sestao River for a Segunda División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Sunday 4 October (16:00 WAT). In the table, Gernika are 11th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Sestao River are 1st (leading the league) with 25. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Gernika, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Coruxo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Sestao River, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Terrassa, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Gernika 0–0 Sestao River.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gernika 1.3 xG, Sestao River 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gernika 39%, draw 24%, Sestao River 36%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.87, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gernika 1–1 Sestao River. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gernika39%fair 2.55 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @2.90
Sestao River36%fair 2.75 · @2.70
2.63Expected goals
1.35Gernika xG
1.28Sestao River xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Gernika 1.3 – 1.3 Sestao River expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Gernika vs Sestao River?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Gernika vs Sestao River?
On our numbers Gernika have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sestao River 36%.
How many goals will there be in Gernika vs Sestao River?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gernika vs Sestao River?
Our predicted score is Gernika 1–1 Sestao River, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Gernika vs Sestao River?
Gernika vs Sestao River (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
