Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Llanera to win @ 3.25 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultArosa to win ✓41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.38
Arosa vs Llanera: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Llanera travel to face Arosa on Sunday 18 October in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Arosa are 15th, lower half, on 8 points after 10 matches; Llanera are 13th (lower half) with 10. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Arosa, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Bergantiños, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Llanera, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Marino de Luanco, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Llanera, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Arosa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arosa 1.9 xG, Llanera 1.8 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arosa 41%, draw 23%, Llanera 37%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Llanera to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.48, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arosa 1–1 Llanera. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arosa41%fair 2.46 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.20
Llanera37%fair 2.73 · @3.25
3.67Expected goals
1.89Arosa xG
1.78Llanera xG
67%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Arosa 1.9 – 1.8 Llanera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arosa to win✓
41%
2.46
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.48
1.62 ▲
Draw no bet
Arosa (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Llanera +1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
–
First team to score
Arosa to score first✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
35%
2.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arosa / FT Arosa✓
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.38
–
Recent results
Arosa – last 6
DDLDLD
11 Oct
vs Bergantiños
2–2
D
4 Oct
@ Ourense CF
0–0
D
27 Sep
vs Deportivo Alavés II
2–5
L
19 Sep
@ Basconia
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Gernika
0–4
L
6 Sep
@ Amorebieta
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Llanera – last 6
WDWLLL
10 Oct
vs Marino de Luanco
4–2
W
3 Oct
@ Basconia
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Racing Santander II
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Gernika
0–4
L
13 Sep
vs Deportivo Alavés II
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Gimnástica Torrelavega
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arosa and Llanera.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Arosa vs Llanera?
On our numbers Arosa have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Llanera 37%.
How many goals will there be in Arosa vs Llanera?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arosa vs Llanera?
Our predicted score is Arosa 1–1 Llanera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Arosa vs Llanera?
Arosa vs Llanera (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
