Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Alavés II to win ✓52% · @2.05
Double chanceDeportivo Alavés II or draw ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.25
Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Deportivo Alavés II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportivo Alavés II travel to face Gimnástica Torrelavega on Sunday 18 October in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Gimnástica Torrelavega are 18th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 10 matches; Deportivo Alavés II are 3rd (among the top four) with 20. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Gimnástica Torrelavega, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sestao River, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Deportivo Alavés II, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gernika, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Deportivo Alavés II, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Gimnástica Torrelavega.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gimnástica Torrelavega 1.2 xG, Deportivo Alavés II 1.8 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnástica Torrelavega 24%, draw 24%, Deportivo Alavés II 52%.
Lower-risk option: Deportivo Alavés II or draw (76%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Deportivo Alavés II or draw (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnástica Torrelavega 1–1 Deportivo Alavés II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gimnástica Torrelavega24%fair 4.24 · @3.50
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @2.90
Deportivo Alavés II52%fair 1.92 · @2.05
3.00Expected goals
1.17Gimnástica Torrelavega xG
1.83Deportivo Alavés II xG
57%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–16%
1–36%
From our goals model: Gimnástica Torrelavega 1.2 – 1.8 Deportivo Alavés II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Alavés II to win✓
52%
1.92
2.05 ▲
Double chance
Deportivo Alavés II or draw✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Deportivo Alavés II (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Gimnástica Torrelavega +1 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Deportivo Alavés II to score first
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Deportivo Alavés II ahead at half-time✓
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Alavés II / FT Deportivo Alavés II✓
33%
3.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.25
–
Recent results
Gimnástica Torrelavega – last 6
DLDLLW
10 Oct
@ Sestao River
0–0
D
3 Oct
vs Marino de Luanco
1–2
L
27 Sep
@ Real Oviedo II
3–3
D
20 Sep
vs Bergantiños
0–3
L
12 Sep
@ Eibar II
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Llanera
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Deportivo Alavés II – last 6
DWWWWL
11 Oct
vs Gernika
1–1
D
3 Oct
@ Portugalete
2–0
W
27 Sep
@ Arosa
5–2
W
20 Sep
vs Real Oviedo II
3–1
W
13 Sep
@ Llanera
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Coruxo
0–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnástica Torrelavega and Deportivo Alavés II.
What is the prediction for Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Deportivo Alavés II?
Our pick is Deportivo Alavés II or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Deportivo Alavés II?
On our numbers Gimnástica Torrelavega have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportivo Alavés II 52%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Deportivo Alavés II?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Deportivo Alavés II?
Our predicted score is Gimnástica Torrelavega 1–1 Deportivo Alavés II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Deportivo Alavés II?
Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Deportivo Alavés II (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
