Amorebieta vs Coruxo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 24 October the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 brings Amorebieta against Coruxo at Campo Municipal de Urritxe. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Amorebieta are 7th, upper half, on 16 points after 10 matches; Coruxo are 14th (lower half) with 9.
Current form
Amorebieta, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Gernika, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Coruxo, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ourense CF, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Amorebieta, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Coruxo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Amorebieta 1.2 xG, Coruxo 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Amorebieta 45%, draw 23%, Coruxo 31%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.95). Most likely score in line with that pick: Amorebieta 1–1 Coruxo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Amorebieta45%fair 2.21 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.00
Coruxo31%fair 3.19 · @3.20
2.14Expected goals
1.21Amorebieta xG
0.93Coruxo xG
52%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Amorebieta 1.2 – 0.9 Coruxo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Amorebieta to win✓
45%
2.21
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.95
Draw no bet
Amorebieta (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Coruxo +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Amorebieta to score first
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Amorebieta / FT Amorebieta✗
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
12.51
–
Recent results
Amorebieta – last 6
WLWLWL
17 Oct
@ Gernika
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs Portugalete
1–2
L
3 Oct
@ Atlético Astorga
1–0
W
26 Sep
vs Ourense CF
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Racing Santander II
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Bergantiños
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Coruxo – last 6
WLLDLD
17 Oct
@ Ourense CF
1–0
W
11 Oct
vs Compostela
0–1
L
4 Oct
@ Bergantiños
1–3
L
27 Sep
vs Gernika
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Portugalete
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Racing Santander II
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amorebieta and Coruxo.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Amorebieta vs Coruxo?
On our numbers Amorebieta have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Coruxo 31%.
How many goals will there be in Amorebieta vs Coruxo?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amorebieta vs Coruxo?
Our predicted score is Amorebieta 1–1 Coruxo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Amorebieta vs Coruxo?
Amorebieta vs Coruxo (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Municipal de Urritxe.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
