Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.76
Atlético Astorga vs Gernika: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:30 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Atlético Astorga v Gernika in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1. In the table, Atlético Astorga are 17th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 10 matches; Gernika are 11th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Atlético Astorga, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Compostela, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Gernika, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Amorebieta, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlético Astorga 1.4 xG, Gernika 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético Astorga 37%, draw 22%, Gernika 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético Astorga 1–1 Gernika. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlético Astorga37%fair 2.67 · @2.70
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.20
Gernika40%fair 2.50 · @2.30
2.79Expected goals
1.37Atlético Astorga xG
1.43Gernika xG
51%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Atlético Astorga 1.4 – 1.4 Gernika expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gernika to win✗
40%
2.50
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
–
Draw no bet
Gernika (draw no bet)
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Atlético Astorga +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Gernika to score first
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gernika / FT Gernika✗
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.76
–
Recent results
Atlético Astorga – last 6
LWLLWL
17 Oct
@ Compostela
1–4
L
10 Oct
vs Ourense CF
4–0
W
3 Oct
vs Amorebieta
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ Sestao River
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Marino de Luanco
3–0
W
13 Sep
@ Basconia
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gernika – last 6
LDLDWW
17 Oct
vs Amorebieta
1–2
L
11 Oct
@ Deportivo Alavés II
1–1
D
4 Oct
vs Sestao River
1–2
L
27 Sep
@ Coruxo
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Llanera
4–0
W
13 Sep
@ Arosa
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético Astorga and Gernika.
What is the prediction for Atlético Astorga vs Gernika?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Atlético Astorga vs Gernika?
On our numbers Atlético Astorga have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gernika 40%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Astorga vs Gernika?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Astorga vs Gernika?
Our predicted score is Atlético Astorga 1–1 Gernika, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Atlético Astorga vs Gernika?
Atlético Astorga vs Gernika (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
