Sestao River 67%Draw 20%Arosa 13%Expected goals 2.04 – 0.75
67%
Betarazi pick
Sestao River to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultSestao River to win ✓67% · @1.44
Double chanceSestao River or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.42
Sestao River vs Arosa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Arosa travel to face Sestao River on Saturday 24 October in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1, with Estadio Las Llanas the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Sestao River are 1st, leading the league, on 25 points after 10 matches; Arosa are 15th (lower half) with 8. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sestao River, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Marino de Luanco, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Arosa, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Llanera, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sestao River, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.0 for Arosa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sestao River 2.0 xG, Arosa 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sestao River 67%, draw 20%, Arosa 13%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sestao River to win (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sestao River 2–0 Arosa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sestao River67%fair 1.49 · @1.44
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.75
Arosa13%fair 7.87 · @6.00
2.79Expected goals
2.04Sestao River xG
0.75Arosa xG
54%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–013%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sestao River 2.0 – 0.8 Arosa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sestao River to win✓
67%
1.49
1.44
Double chance
Sestao River or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
1.91
Draw no bet
Sestao River (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Sestao River -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Sestao River to score first✓
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Sestao River ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sestao River / FT Sestao River✓
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.42
–
Recent results
Sestao River – last 6
WWDWWW
18 Oct
@ Marino de Luanco
1–0
W
14 Oct
vs Salamanca UDS
3–1
W
10 Oct
vs Gimnástica Torrelavega
0–0
D
4 Oct
@ Gernika
2–1
W
30 Sep
vs Terrassa
4–1
W
26 Sep
vs Atlético Astorga
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Arosa – last 6
WDDLDL
18 Oct
vs Llanera
4–1
W
11 Oct
vs Bergantiños
2–2
D
4 Oct
@ Ourense CF
0–0
D
27 Sep
vs Deportivo Alavés II
2–5
L
19 Sep
@ Basconia
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Gernika
0–4
L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sestao River and Arosa.
Our pick is Sestao River to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Sestao River vs Arosa?
On our numbers Sestao River have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Arosa 13%.
How many goals will there be in Sestao River vs Arosa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sestao River vs Arosa?
Our predicted score is Sestao River 2–0 Arosa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sestao River vs Arosa?
Sestao River vs Arosa (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Las Llanas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
