Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Bergantiños to win @ 1.90 – our chance 56% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBergantiños to win ✗56% · @1.90
Double chanceBergantiños or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗6% · fair 16.18
Bergantiños vs Ourense CF: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Sunday 1 November: Bergantiños v Ourense CF in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1. In the table, Bergantiños are 4th, among the top four, on 18 points after 10 matches; Ourense CF are 10th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Bergantiños, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Eibar II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Ourense CF, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Gimnástica Torrelavega, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Bergantiños, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Ourense CF.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bergantiños 1.8 xG, Ourense CF 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bergantiños 56%, draw 26%, Ourense CF 18%.
Lower-risk option: Bergantiños or draw (82%) at 1.25.
Price worth noting: Bergantiños to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bergantiños or draw (82%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bergantiños 1–0 Ourense CF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bergantiños56%fair 1.79 · @1.90
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.40
Ourense CF18%fair 5.41 · @3.40
2.74Expected goals
1.79Bergantiños xG
0.95Ourense CF xG
48%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: Bergantiños 1.8 – 1.0 Ourense CF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bergantiños to win✗
56%
1.79
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Bergantiños or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
–
Draw no bet
Bergantiños (draw no bet)
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Ourense CF +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Bergantiños to score first✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Bergantiños ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bergantiños / FT Bergantiños✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
6%
16.18
–
Recent results
Bergantiños – last 6
LWDWWW
24 Oct
@ Eibar II
2–3
L
18 Oct
vs Real Oviedo II
3–0
W
11 Oct
@ Arosa
2–2
D
4 Oct
vs Coruxo
3–1
W
27 Sep
vs Portugalete
3–2
W
20 Sep
@ Gimnástica Torrelavega
3–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Ourense CF – last 6
WLLDWL
25 Oct
vs Gimnástica Torrelavega
3–0
W
17 Oct
vs Coruxo
0–1
L
10 Oct
@ Atlético Astorga
0–4
L
4 Oct
vs Arosa
0–0
D
26 Sep
@ Amorebieta
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Eibar II
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bergantiños and Ourense CF.
What is the prediction for Bergantiños vs Ourense CF?
Our pick is Bergantiños or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bergantiños vs Ourense CF?
On our numbers Bergantiños have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ourense CF 18%.
How many goals will there be in Bergantiños vs Ourense CF?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bergantiños vs Ourense CF?
Our predicted score is Bergantiños 1–0 Ourense CF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Bergantiños vs Ourense CF?
Bergantiños vs Ourense CF (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
