Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultPortugalete to win ✗59% · @1.67
Double chancePortugalete or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Portugalete vs Arosa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Portugalete welcome Arosa for a Segunda División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Sunday 1 November (11:30 WAT). In the table, Portugalete are 6th, upper half, on 16 points after 10 matches; Arosa are 15th (lower half) with 8.
Current form
Portugalete, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Basconia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Arosa, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Pontevedra, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Portugalete 2.0 xG, Arosa 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Portugalete 59%, draw 24%, Arosa 17%.
Lower-risk option: Portugalete or draw (83%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Portugalete to win (59%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portugalete 1–0 Arosa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Portugalete59%fair 1.68 · @1.67
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.50
Arosa17%fair 5.92 · @4.40
2.94Expected goals
1.97Portugalete xG
0.97Arosa xG
57%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–010%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Portugalete 2.0 – 1.0 Arosa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portugalete to win✗
59%
1.68
1.67
Double chance
Portugalete or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.75
Draw no bet
Portugalete (draw no bet)
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Portugalete -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Portugalete to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Portugalete ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portugalete / FT Portugalete✗
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Recent results
Portugalete – last 6
DDWLLW
25 Oct
@ Basconia
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs Eibar II
0–0
D
10 Oct
@ Amorebieta
2–1
W
3 Oct
vs Deportivo Alavés II
0–2
L
27 Sep
@ Bergantiños
2–3
L
19 Sep
vs Coruxo
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Arosa – last 6
WLWDDL
27 Oct
vs Pontevedra
2–0
W
24 Oct
@ Sestao River
0–1
L
18 Oct
vs Llanera
4–1
W
11 Oct
vs Bergantiños
2–2
D
4 Oct
@ Ourense CF
0–0
D
27 Sep
vs Deportivo Alavés II
2–5
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portugalete and Arosa.
Our pick is Portugalete to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Portugalete vs Arosa?
On our numbers Portugalete have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Arosa 17%.
How many goals will there be in Portugalete vs Arosa?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portugalete vs Arosa?
Our predicted score is Portugalete 1–0 Arosa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Portugalete vs Arosa?
Portugalete vs Arosa (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
