Value bet: Sestao River to win @ 2.30 – our chance 48% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSestao River to win ✓48% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.68
Coruxo vs Sestao River: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Sunday 1 November: Coruxo v Sestao River in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1. In the table, Coruxo are 14th, lower half, on 9 points after 10 matches; Sestao River are 1st (leading the league) with 25. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Coruxo, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Zamora, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Sestao River, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Espanyol, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sestao River, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for Coruxo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Coruxo 0.7 xG, Sestao River 1.1 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Coruxo 27%, draw 25%, Sestao River 48%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Sestao River to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.92, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Coruxo 1–1 Sestao River. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Coruxo27%fair 3.67 · @3.10
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @2.75
Sestao River48%fair 2.10 · @2.30
1.88Expected goals
0.75Coruxo xG
1.13Sestao River xG
52%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–117%
0–015%
1–113%
1–011%
0–210%
1–27%
From our goals model: Coruxo 0.7 – 1.1 Sestao River expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sestao River to win✓
48%
2.10
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.00
Draw no bet
Sestao River (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
Coruxo +1 (Asian handicap)✗
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Sestao River to score first✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sestao River / FT Sestao River✗
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.68
–
Recent results
Coruxo – last 6
LLWLLD
29 Oct
vs Zamora
0–2
L
24 Oct
@ Amorebieta
1–2
L
17 Oct
@ Ourense CF
1–0
W
11 Oct
vs Compostela
0–1
L
4 Oct
@ Bergantiños
1–3
L
27 Sep
vs Gernika
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sestao River – last 6
DWWWDW
27 Oct
vs Espanyol
2–2
D
24 Oct
vs Arosa
1–0
W
18 Oct
@ Marino de Luanco
1–0
W
14 Oct
vs Salamanca UDS
3–1
W
10 Oct
vs Gimnástica Torrelavega
0–0
D
4 Oct
@ Gernika
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Coruxo and Sestao River.
What is the prediction for Coruxo vs Sestao River?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Coruxo vs Sestao River?
On our numbers Coruxo have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sestao River 48%.
How many goals will there be in Coruxo vs Sestao River?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Coruxo vs Sestao River?
Our predicted score is Coruxo 1–1 Sestao River, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Coruxo vs Sestao River?
Coruxo vs Sestao River (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
