Value bet: Manresa to win @ 3.00 – our chance 40% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultManresa to win ✗40% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.31
Barbastro vs Manresa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Sunday 18 October: Barbastro v Manresa in the Segunda División RFEF Group 2. In the table, Barbastro are 12th, lower half, on 9 points after 10 matches; Manresa are 8th (upper half) with 14.
Current form
Barbastro, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to UD Logroñés II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Manresa, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Osasuna II, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Manresa, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Barbastro.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barbastro 1.2 xG, Manresa 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barbastro 36%, draw 24%, Manresa 40%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Manresa to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barbastro 1–1 Manresa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barbastro36%fair 2.78 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.90
Manresa40%fair 2.51 · @3.00
2.42Expected goals
1.17Barbastro xG
1.25Manresa xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Barbastro 1.2 – 1.2 Manresa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manresa to win✗
40%
2.51
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.85
Draw no bet
Manresa (draw no bet)
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Barbastro +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Manresa to score first✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manresa / FT Manresa✗
22%
4.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.31
–
Recent results
Barbastro – last 6
LDDLDW
11 Oct
@ UD Logroñés II
1–2
L
4 Oct
vs Utebo
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Náxara
0–0
D
20 Sep
vs Barcelona B
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Terrassa
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Girona II
4–3
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Manresa – last 6
DWLLWW
10 Oct
vs Osasuna II
0–0
D
4 Oct
@ Reddis
4–1
W
26 Sep
vs UD Logroñés II
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Tudelano
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Peña Sport
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Arnedo
4–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barbastro and Manresa.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Barbastro vs Manresa?
On our numbers Barbastro have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Manresa 40%.
How many goals will there be in Barbastro vs Manresa?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barbastro vs Manresa?
Our predicted score is Barbastro 1–1 Manresa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Barbastro vs Manresa?
Barbastro vs Manresa (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
