Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: SD Logroñés to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSD Logroñés to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chanceSD Logroñés or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.94
SD Logroñés vs Náxara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Náxara travel to face SD Logroñés on Sunday 18 October in the Segunda División RFEF Group 2, with Estadio Las Gaunas the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, SD Logroñés are 15th, lower half, on 8 points after 10 matches; Náxara are 16th (in the drop zone) with 6. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
SD Logroñés, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Barcelona B, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Náxara, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Peña Sport, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Náxara, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for SD Logroñés.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SD Logroñés 1.6 xG, Náxara 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SD Logroñés 60%, draw 23%, Náxara 17%.
Lower-risk option: SD Logroñés or draw (83%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: SD Logroñés to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was SD Logroñés or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: SD Logroñés 1–0 Náxara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SD Logroñés60%fair 1.66 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Náxara17%fair 6.02 · @4.00
2.36Expected goals
1.64SD Logroñés xG
0.72Náxara xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: SD Logroñés 1.6 – 0.7 Náxara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SD Logroñés to win✗
60%
1.66
1.85 ▲
Double chance
SD Logroñés or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.91
Draw no bet
SD Logroñés (draw no bet)
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Náxara +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
SD Logroñés to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SD Logroñés / FT SD Logroñés✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.94
–
Recent results
SD Logroñés – last 6
LLLDDL
10 Oct
@ Barcelona B
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ Peña Sport
0–4
L
27 Sep
vs Olot
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Girona II
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Utebo
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Espanyol II
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Náxara – last 6
WDLLLW
10 Oct
vs Peña Sport
1–0
W
27 Sep
vs Barbastro
0–0
D
20 Sep
@ Reddis
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Olot
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ Barcelona B
0–5
L
14 Aug
@ Haro Deportivo
4–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SD Logroñés and Náxara.
Our pick is SD Logroñés or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win SD Logroñés vs Náxara?
On our numbers SD Logroñés have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Náxara 17%.
How many goals will there be in SD Logroñés vs Náxara?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SD Logroñés vs Náxara?
Our predicted score is SD Logroñés 1–0 Náxara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is SD Logroñés vs Náxara?
SD Logroñés vs Náxara (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Las Gaunas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
