Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.15
Alcoyano vs Cieza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Saturday 5 September: Alcoyano v Cieza in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3, played at Estadio El Collao. In the table, Alcoyano are 7th, upper half, on 14 points after 9 matches; Cieza are 6th (upper half) with 14. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Alcoyano, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Hércules, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Cieza, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Santomera, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Alcoyano, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Cieza.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alcoyano 1.6 xG, Cieza 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alcoyano 56%, draw 23%, Cieza 21%.
Lower-risk option: Alcoyano or draw (79%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alcoyano 1–0 Cieza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alcoyano56%fair 1.79 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.20
Cieza21%fair 4.75 · @4.00
2.43Expected goals
1.58Alcoyano xG
0.84Cieza xG
46%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Alcoyano 1.6 – 0.8 Cieza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alcoyano to win✗
56%
1.79
1.80
Double chance
Alcoyano or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Alcoyano (draw no bet)
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Cieza +1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Alcoyano to score first✗
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alcoyano / FT Alcoyano✗
33%
3.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.15
–
Recent results
Alcoyano – last 6
WWDDWD
14 Aug
vs Hércules
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ La Nucía
2–1
W
17 May
@ SS Reyes
1–1
D
3 May
@ Porreres
0–0
D
26 Apr
vs Sant Andreu
2–0
W
19 Apr
@ Andratx
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Cieza – last 6
WLDWDD
22 Aug
@ Santomera
2–1
W
5 Aug
vs Real Murcia
1–4
L
10 Apr
@ Real Murcia II
0–0
D
2 Apr
vs Yeclano II
1–0
W
29 Mar
@ SFC Minerva
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Atlético Pulpileño
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alcoyano and Cieza.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Alcoyano vs Cieza?
On our numbers Alcoyano have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cieza 21%.
How many goals will there be in Alcoyano vs Cieza?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alcoyano vs Cieza?
Our predicted score is Alcoyano 1–0 Cieza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Alcoyano vs Cieza?
Alcoyano vs Cieza (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Collao.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
