Real Murcia II 17%Draw 24%Orihuela 59%Expected goals 0.82 – 1.75
83%
Betarazi pick
Orihuela or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Orihuela to win @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultOrihuela to win ✓59% · @1.80
Double chanceOrihuela or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.45
Real Murcia II vs Orihuela: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 5 September the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 brings Real Murcia II against Orihuela. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT. In the table, Real Murcia II are 15th, lower half, on 8 points after 9 matches; Orihuela are 12th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Real Murcia II, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Pamplona, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Orihuela, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to FC Cartagena, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Real Murcia II, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Orihuela.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Murcia II 0.8 xG, Orihuela 1.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Murcia II 17%, draw 24%, Orihuela 59%.
Lower-risk option: Orihuela or draw (83%) at 1.20.
Price worth noting: Orihuela to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Orihuela or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Murcia II 0–1 Orihuela. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Murcia II17%fair 5.95 · @3.75
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.40
Orihuela59%fair 1.69 · @1.80
2.57Expected goals
0.82Real Murcia II xG
1.75Orihuela xG
46%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Real Murcia II 0.8 – 1.8 Orihuela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Orihuela to win✓
59%
1.69
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Orihuela or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
–
Draw no bet
Orihuela (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Real Murcia II +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Orihuela to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Orihuela ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Orihuela / FT Orihuela✓
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.45
–
Recent results
Real Murcia II – last 6
DWWDWW
20 Jun
@ Pamplona
1–1
D
14 Jun
vs Pamplona
2–1
W
7 Jun
vs Olímpico Totana
2–1
W
31 May
@ Olímpico Totana
1–1
D
24 May
vs Mazarrón FC
2–0
W
2 May
@ Santa Cruz
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Orihuela – last 6
LWLDWD
12 Aug
@ FC Cartagena
0–3
L
3 May
vs Getafe II
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ Las Palmas II
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Conquense
2–2
D
29 Mar
@ Tenerife II
3–1
W
15 Mar
@ Rayo Vallecano II
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Murcia II and Orihuela.
What is the prediction for Real Murcia II vs Orihuela?
Our pick is Orihuela or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Real Murcia II vs Orihuela?
On our numbers Real Murcia II have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Orihuela 59%.
How many goals will there be in Real Murcia II vs Orihuela?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Murcia II vs Orihuela?
Our predicted score is Real Murcia II 0–1 Orihuela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Real Murcia II vs Orihuela?
Real Murcia II vs Orihuela (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
