Lorca Deportiva 30%Draw 51%Elche II 19%Expected goals 1.29 – 1.06
81%
Betarazi pick
Lorca Deportiva or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.30 – our chance 51% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +69%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✓51% · @3.30
Double chanceLorca Deportiva or draw ✓81% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✗9% · fair 10.54
Lorca Deportiva vs Elche II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Elche II travel to face Lorca Deportiva on Sunday 6 September in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Lorca Deportiva are 8th, upper half, on 13 points after 10 matches; Elche II are 16th (in the drop zone) with 8.
Current form
Lorca Deportiva, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Águilas, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Elche II, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over FC Cartagena, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Elche II, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Lorca Deportiva.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lorca Deportiva 1.3 xG, Elche II 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lorca Deportiva 30%, draw 51%, Elche II 19%.
Lower-risk option: Lorca Deportiva or draw (81%) at 1.28.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lorca Deportiva or draw (81%, odds 1.28 – longer than our fair 1.23, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lorca Deportiva 1–1 Elche II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lorca Deportiva30%fair 3.33 · @2.00
Draw51%fair 1.95 · @3.30
Elche II19%fair 5.36 · @3.20
2.36Expected goals
1.29Lorca Deportiva xG
1.06Elche II xG
44%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Lorca Deportiva 1.3 – 1.1 Elche II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
51%
1.95
3.30 ▲
Double chance
Lorca Deportiva or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
–
Draw no bet
Lorca Deportiva (draw no bet)
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Elche II +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Lorca Deportiva to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lorca Deportiva / FT Lorca Deportiva✗
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–0✗
9%
10.54
–
Recent results
Lorca Deportiva – last 6
LLDDLL
15 Aug
@ Águilas
0–1
L
3 May
@ Deportiva Minera
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Yeclano
2–2
D
5 Apr
@ Almería II
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Melilla
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Estepona
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Elche II – last 6
WLLLWL
19 Aug
vs FC Cartagena
2–0
W
3 May
vs Quintanar del Rey
1–3
L
26 Apr
@ CD Coria
0–4
L
19 Apr
vs Rayo Majadahonda
0–1
L
12 Apr
@ Tenerife II
3–1
W
22 Mar
vs Fuenlabrada
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lorca Deportiva and Elche II.
What is the prediction for Lorca Deportiva vs Elche II?
Our pick is Lorca Deportiva or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Lorca Deportiva vs Elche II?
On our numbers Lorca Deportiva have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 51% and Elche II 19%.
How many goals will there be in Lorca Deportiva vs Elche II?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lorca Deportiva vs Elche II?
Our predicted score is Lorca Deportiva 1–1 Elche II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Lorca Deportiva vs Elche II?
Lorca Deportiva vs Elche II (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
