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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Castellonense v Cieza: numbers & prediction

1–0
FT

Cieza

WDWLD
Castellonense 45%Draw 22%Cieza 34% Expected goals 1.36 – 1.13
52%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.94 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.95Odds

Picks by market

ResultCastellonense to win ✓45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 8.88

Castellonense vs Cieza: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 19 September the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 brings Castellonense against Cieza. Kick-off: 18:15 WAT. In the table, Castellonense are 4th, among the top four, on 16 points after 9 matches; Cieza are 6th (upper half) with 14. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Castellonense, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Poblense, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Cieza, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Elche II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Castellonense 1.4 xG, Cieza 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Castellonense 45%, draw 22%, Cieza 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (52%, odds 1.95). Most likely score in line with that pick: Castellonense 1–1 Cieza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Castellonense45%fair 2.24 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.30
Cieza34%fair 2.96 · @3.00
2.49Expected goals
1.36Castellonense xG
1.13Cieza xG
49%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%

From our goals model: Castellonense 1.4 – 1.1 Cieza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCastellonense to win ✓45%2.242.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.95–
Draw no betCastellonense (draw no bet) ✓57%1.76–
Asian handicapCieza +1 (Asian handicap)75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.41–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.941.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreCastellonense to score first ✓50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Castellonense / FT Castellonense ✗24%4.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11%8.88–

Recent results

Castellonense – last 6

WWDWWL
13 Sep@ Poblense2–1W
5 Sepvs Ucam Murcia2–1W
26 Aprvs Saguntino1–1D
29 Mar@ Crevillente1–0W
22 Marvs Soneja2–0W
15 Mar@ Buñol0–2L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Cieza – last 6

WDWLDW
13 Sepvs Elche II1–0W
5 Sep@ Alcoyano1–1D
22 Aug@ Santomera2–1W
5 Augvs Real Murcia1–4L
10 Apr@ Real Murcia II0–0D
2 Aprvs Yeclano II1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Castellonense and Cieza.

Castellonense vs Cieza head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportiva Minera9621+720
2Ucam Murcia10613+1119
3Castellón II9603+1018
4Castellonense9513+516
5La Nucía9504+115
6Cieza9423+614
7Alcoyano9423-114
8Lorca Deportiva10343+213
9Intercity9342+113
10Atlético Baleares10343013
11Poblense10415-313
12Orihuela10343-513
13Mallorca II10334-312
14Yeclano10253-211
15Real Murcia II9225-88
16Elche II9225-108
17Valencia II9144-57
18Peña Deportiva10217-67

More Segunda División RFEF Group 3 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Castellonense vs Cieza?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Castellonense vs Cieza?

On our numbers Castellonense have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cieza 34%.

How many goals will there be in Castellonense vs Cieza?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Castellonense vs Cieza?

Our predicted score is Castellonense 1–1 Cieza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Castellonense vs Cieza?

Castellonense vs Cieza (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.