Value bet: Castellón II to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultValencia II to win ✗43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.22
Valencia II vs Castellón II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Valencia II welcome Castellón II for a Segunda División RFEF Group 3 fixture on Saturday 19 September (18:00 WAT). In the table, Valencia II are 17th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 9 matches; Castellón II are 3rd (among the top four) with 18.
Current form
Valencia II, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ucam Murcia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Castellón II, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Alcoyano, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Valencia II 1.3 xG, Castellón II 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Valencia II 43%, draw 22%, Castellón II 35%.
Price worth noting: Castellón II to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (51%, odds 2.00). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valencia II 1–1 Castellón II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Valencia II43%fair 2.31 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.30
Castellón II35%fair 2.84 · @3.20
2.52Expected goals
1.34Valencia II xG
1.17Castellón II xG
47%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Valencia II 1.3 – 1.2 Castellón II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valencia II to win✗
43%
2.31
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
–
Draw no bet
Valencia II (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Castellón II +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Valencia II to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valencia II / FT Valencia II✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.22
–
Recent results
Valencia II – last 6
LDLWLW
13 Sep
@ Ucam Murcia
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Mallorca II
1–1
D
3 May
@ Olot
0–2
L
26 Apr
vs Espanyol II
3–0
W
5 Apr
@ Andratx
3–5
L
28 Mar
vs Terrassa
5–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Castellón II – last 6
WLLWDL
12 Sep
vs Alcoyano
3–0
W
6 Sep
vs Terrassa
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Intercity
1–2
L
29 Aug
@ Reddis
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Teruel
0–0
D
17 May
@ SD Logroñés
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valencia II and Castellón II.
What is the prediction for Valencia II vs Castellón II?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Valencia II vs Castellón II?
On our numbers Valencia II have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Castellón II 35%.
How many goals will there be in Valencia II vs Castellón II?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valencia II vs Castellón II?
Our predicted score is Valencia II 1–1 Castellón II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Valencia II vs Castellón II?
Valencia II vs Castellón II (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
