Elche II vs Ucam Murcia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:15 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Elche II v Ucam Murcia in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3. In the table, Elche II are 16th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 9 matches; Ucam Murcia are 2nd (among the top four) with 19.
Current form
Elche II, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Yeclano, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Ucam Murcia, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Intercity, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Elche II 0.9 xG, Ucam Murcia 1.2 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Elche II 32%, draw 21%, Ucam Murcia 47%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Elche II 1–1 Ucam Murcia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Elche II32%fair 3.16 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.30
Ucam Murcia47%fair 2.13 · @2.00
2.13Expected goals
0.91Elche II xG
1.22Ucam Murcia xG
55%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Elche II 0.9 – 1.2 Ucam Murcia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ucam Murcia to win✓
47%
2.13
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.75
Draw no bet
Ucam Murcia (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Elche II +1 (Asian handicap)✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Ucam Murcia to score first✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ucam Murcia / FT Ucam Murcia✓
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.45
–
Recent results
Elche II – last 6
LWLDWL
27 Sep
@ Yeclano
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Peña Deportiva
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ Cieza
0–1
L
6 Sep
@ Lorca Deportiva
1–1
D
19 Aug
vs FC Cartagena
2–0
W
3 May
vs Quintanar del Rey
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Ucam Murcia – last 6
LWWLLL
27 Sep
vs Intercity
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ Atlético Baleares
4–1
W
13 Sep
vs Valencia II
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Castellonense
1–2
L
3 May
@ Xerez
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Real Jaén
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Elche II and Ucam Murcia.
What is the prediction for Elche II vs Ucam Murcia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Elche II vs Ucam Murcia?
On our numbers Elche II have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ucam Murcia 47%.
How many goals will there be in Elche II vs Ucam Murcia?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Elche II vs Ucam Murcia?
Our predicted score is Elche II 1–1 Ucam Murcia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Elche II vs Ucam Murcia?
Elche II vs Ucam Murcia (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
