Castellón II vs Lorca Deportiva: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 3 October the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 brings Castellón II against Lorca Deportiva. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Castellón II are 3rd, among the top four, on 18 points after 9 matches; Lorca Deportiva are 8th (upper half) with 13.
Current form
Castellón II, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Orihuela, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Lorca Deportiva, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Castellonense, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Castellón II, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Lorca Deportiva.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Castellón II 1.3 xG, Lorca Deportiva 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Castellón II 46%, draw 21%, Lorca Deportiva 33%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Castellón II 1–1 Lorca Deportiva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Castellón II46%fair 2.17 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.30
Lorca Deportiva33%fair 3.08 · @2.90
2.25Expected goals
1.26Castellón II xG
0.99Lorca Deportiva xG
56%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Castellón II 1.3 – 1.0 Lorca Deportiva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Castellón II to win✓
46%
2.17
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.62
Draw no bet
Castellón II (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Lorca Deportiva +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Castellón II to score first✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Castellón II / FT Castellón II✓
25%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
12.07
–
Recent results
Castellón II – last 6
WWWLLW
26 Sep
@ Orihuela
4–1
W
19 Sep
@ Valencia II
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Alcoyano
3–0
W
6 Sep
vs Terrassa
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Intercity
1–2
L
29 Aug
@ Reddis
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lorca Deportiva – last 6
WDLDLL
27 Sep
vs Castellonense
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs Intercity
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ Orihuela
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Elche II
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Águilas
0–1
L
3 May
@ Deportiva Minera
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Castellón II and Lorca Deportiva.
What is the prediction for Castellón II vs Lorca Deportiva?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Castellón II vs Lorca Deportiva?
On our numbers Castellón II have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lorca Deportiva 33%.
How many goals will there be in Castellón II vs Lorca Deportiva?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Castellón II vs Lorca Deportiva?
Our predicted score is Castellón II 1–1 Lorca Deportiva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Castellón II vs Lorca Deportiva?
Castellón II vs Lorca Deportiva (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
