Badajoz 27%Draw 52%Tenerife II 22%Expected goals 1.39 – 1.28
78%
Betarazi pick
Badajoz or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.33Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.25 – our chance 52% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +67%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✗52% · @3.25
Double chanceBadajoz or draw ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗12% · fair 8.12
Badajoz vs Tenerife II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 6 September the Segunda División RFEF Group 4 brings Badajoz against Tenerife II. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Badajoz are 4th, among the top four, on 17 points after 10 matches; Tenerife II are 14th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Badajoz, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cuarte, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Tenerife II, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Tenerife, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Badajoz, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Tenerife II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Badajoz 1.4 xG, Tenerife II 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Badajoz 27%, draw 52%, Tenerife II 22%.
Lower-risk option: Badajoz or draw (78%) at 1.33.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Badajoz or draw (78%, odds 1.33 – longer than our fair 1.28, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Badajoz 1–1 Tenerife II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Badajoz27%fair 3.73 · @2.25
Draw52%fair 1.94 · @3.25
Tenerife II22%fair 4.62 · @2.80
2.67Expected goals
1.39Badajoz xG
1.28Tenerife II xG
51%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Badajoz 1.4 – 1.3 Tenerife II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
52%
1.94
3.25 ▲
Double chance
Badajoz or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
–
Draw no bet
Badajoz (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Tenerife II +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Badajoz to score first✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Badajoz / FT Badajoz✓
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
12%
8.12
–
Recent results
Badajoz – last 6
DWDWWL
20 Jun
@ Cuarte
1–1
D
14 Jun
vs Cuarte
2–1
W
7 Jun
vs Moralo
0–0
D
31 May
@ Moralo
2–0
W
24 May
vs Jaraíz
2–0
W
17 May
@ Jaraíz
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Tenerife II – last 6
LLLWLW
18 Jul
@ Tenerife
0–3
L
3 May
vs SS Reyes
1–3
L
26 Apr
@ Conquense
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs CD Coria
4–0
W
12 Apr
vs Elche II
1–3
L
5 Apr
@ Socuéllamos
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Badajoz and Tenerife II.
What is the prediction for Badajoz vs Tenerife II?
Our pick is Badajoz or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Badajoz vs Tenerife II?
On our numbers Badajoz have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 52% and Tenerife II 22%.
How many goals will there be in Badajoz vs Tenerife II?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Badajoz vs Tenerife II?
Our predicted score is Badajoz 1–1 Tenerife II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Badajoz vs Tenerife II?
Badajoz vs Tenerife II (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
