Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Sanluqueño to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMarbella to win ✗41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.72
Marbella vs Sanluqueño: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sanluqueño travel to face Marbella on Sunday 6 September in the Segunda División RFEF Group 4, with Banus Football Center the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Marbella are 15th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Sanluqueño are 13th (lower half) with 10. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Marbella, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Teruel, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Sanluqueño, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Real Murcia, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Marbella, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Sanluqueño.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Marbella 1.2 xG, Sanluqueño 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Marbella 41%, draw 22%, Sanluqueño 38%.
Price worth noting: Sanluqueño to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marbella 1–1 Sanluqueño. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Marbella41%fair 2.46 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Sanluqueño38%fair 2.66 · @3.00
2.36Expected goals
1.21Marbella xG
1.15Sanluqueño xG
47%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Marbella 1.2 – 1.1 Sanluqueño expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marbella to win✗
41%
2.46
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
–
Draw no bet
Marbella (draw no bet)
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Sanluqueño +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Marbella to score first
46%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marbella / FT Marbella✗
21%
4.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.72
–
Recent results
Marbella – last 6
WLWLLW
22 May
vs Teruel
3–1
W
10 May
vs Juventud Torremolinos
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs Gimnastic
2–0
W
10 Apr
@ Atlético Madrid II
4–5
L
29 Mar
@ Hércules
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs Sevilla Atletico
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sanluqueño – last 3
WLL
6 Mar
@ Real Murcia
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Sabadell
0–2
L
13 Feb
vs Atlético Madrid II
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marbella and Sanluqueño.
What is the prediction for Marbella vs Sanluqueño?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Marbella vs Sanluqueño?
On our numbers Marbella have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sanluqueño 38%.
How many goals will there be in Marbella vs Sanluqueño?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marbella vs Sanluqueño?
Our predicted score is Marbella 1–1 Sanluqueño, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Marbella vs Sanluqueño?
Marbella vs Sanluqueño (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Banus Football Center.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
