Ciudad de Lucena vs Sanluqueño: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sanluqueño travel to face Ciudad de Lucena on Sunday 1 November in the Segunda División RFEF Group 4 – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT. In the table, Ciudad de Lucena are 3rd, among the top four, on 19 points after 10 matches; Sanluqueño are 13th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Ciudad de Lucena, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Rayo Majadahonda, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sanluqueño, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Las Palmas II, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Ciudad de Lucena, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Sanluqueño.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ciudad de Lucena 1.7 xG, Sanluqueño 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ciudad de Lucena 49%, draw 23%, Sanluqueño 28%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ciudad de Lucena 1–1 Sanluqueño. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ciudad de Lucena49%fair 2.05 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.00
Sanluqueño28%fair 3.57 · @3.50
3.00Expected goals
1.74Ciudad de Lucena xG
1.26Sanluqueño xG
55%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Ciudad de Lucena 1.7 – 1.3 Sanluqueño expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ciudad de Lucena to win✓
49%
2.05
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.85
Draw no bet
Ciudad de Lucena (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
Sanluqueño +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Ciudad de Lucena to score first
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ciudad de Lucena / FT Ciudad de Lucena✗
30%
3.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.54
–
Recent results
Ciudad de Lucena – last 6
LDWWWW
27 Oct
vs Rayo Majadahonda
0–1
L
24 Oct
@ Estepona
2–2
D
18 Oct
@ Xerez
1–0
W
11 Oct
vs Don Benito
4–2
W
4 Oct
vs Puente Genil
1–0
W
27 Sep
@ Antoniano
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sanluqueño – last 6
WLDDLD
25 Oct
vs Las Palmas II
4–1
W
18 Oct
@ Badajoz
0–1
L
11 Oct
vs Recreativo Huelva
3–3
D
4 Oct
vs Mijas Las Lagunas
2–2
D
26 Sep
@ Don Benito
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Sevilla Atletico
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ciudad de Lucena and Sanluqueño.
What is the prediction for Ciudad de Lucena vs Sanluqueño?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Ciudad de Lucena vs Sanluqueño?
On our numbers Ciudad de Lucena have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sanluqueño 28%.
How many goals will there be in Ciudad de Lucena vs Sanluqueño?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ciudad de Lucena vs Sanluqueño?
Our predicted score is Ciudad de Lucena 1–1 Sanluqueño, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Ciudad de Lucena vs Sanluqueño?
Ciudad de Lucena vs Sanluqueño (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
