Marbella 58%Draw 27%Mijas Las Lagunas 15%Expected goals 1.94 – 0.94
85%
Betarazi pick
Marbella or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Marbella to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMarbella to win ✗58% · @1.91
Double chanceMarbella or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Marbella vs Mijas Las Lagunas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 1 November the Segunda División RFEF Group 4 brings Marbella against Mijas Las Lagunas at Banus Football Center. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Marbella are 15th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Mijas Las Lagunas are 7th (upper half) with 15.
Current form
Marbella, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Xerez, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Mijas Las Lagunas, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Real Betis II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Momentum favours Mijas Las Lagunas, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Marbella.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Marbella 1.9 xG, Mijas Las Lagunas 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Marbella 58%, draw 27%, Mijas Las Lagunas 15%.
Lower-risk option: Marbella or draw (85%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Marbella to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Marbella or draw (85%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marbella 1–0 Mijas Las Lagunas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Marbella58%fair 1.71 · @1.91
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.10
Mijas Las Lagunas15%fair 6.68 · @3.60
2.88Expected goals
1.94Marbella xG
0.94Mijas Las Lagunas xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Marbella 1.9 – 0.9 Mijas Las Lagunas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marbella to win✗
58%
1.71
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Marbella or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.73
Draw no bet
Marbella (draw no bet)
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Marbella -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
First team to score
Marbella to score first✗
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Marbella ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marbella / FT Marbella✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
Marbella – last 6
LDLLDW
25 Oct
@ Xerez
0–1
L
18 Oct
vs Estepona
0–0
D
11 Oct
@ Badajoz
0–1
L
4 Oct
vs Real Betis II
0–2
L
27 Sep
@ Puente Genil
0–0
D
20 Sep
vs Atlético Central
4–1
W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Mijas Las Lagunas – last 6
DWWDWD
24 Oct
vs Real Betis II
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Tenerife II
3–1
W
11 Oct
vs Sevilla Atletico
3–1
W
4 Oct
@ Sanluqueño
2–2
D
27 Sep
vs Tamaraceite
6–2
W
20 Sep
@ Antoniano
1–1
D
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marbella and Mijas Las Lagunas.
What is the prediction for Marbella vs Mijas Las Lagunas?
Our pick is Marbella or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Marbella vs Mijas Las Lagunas?
On our numbers Marbella have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Mijas Las Lagunas 15%.
How many goals will there be in Marbella vs Mijas Las Lagunas?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marbella vs Mijas Las Lagunas?
Our predicted score is Marbella 1–0 Mijas Las Lagunas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Marbella vs Mijas Las Lagunas?
Marbella vs Mijas Las Lagunas (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Banus Football Center.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
