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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Conquense v RSD Alcalá: numbers & prediction

2–2
FT
Conquense 59%Draw 24%RSD Alcalá 17% Expected goals 1.87 – 0.93
59%
Betarazi pick

Conquense to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultConquense to win ✗59% · @1.65
Double chanceConquense or draw ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.76

Conquense vs RSD Alcalá: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 1 November the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 brings Conquense against RSD Alcalá. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Conquense are 4th, among the top four, on 18 points after 9 matches; RSD Alcalá are 13th (lower half) with 10.

Current form

Conquense, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Castellón, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

RSD Alcalá, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Las Palmas, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Conquense, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for RSD Alcalá.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Conquense 1.9 xG, RSD Alcalá 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Conquense 59%, draw 24%, RSD Alcalá 17%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Conquense to win (59%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Conquense 1–0 RSD Alcalá. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Conquense59%fair 1.70 · @1.65
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.50
RSD Alcalá17%fair 5.75 · @4.75
2.80Expected goals
1.87Conquense xG
0.93RSD Alcalá xG
49%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: Conquense 1.9 – 0.9 RSD Alcalá expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultConquense to win ✗59%1.701.65
Double chanceConquense or draw ✓83%1.211.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.94–
Draw no betConquense (draw no bet)77%1.30–
Asian handicapRSD Alcalá +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.961.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.44–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreConquense to score first63%1.59–
Half-time resultConquense ahead at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Conquense / FT Conquense ✗37%2.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11%8.76–

Recent results

Conquense – last 6

LWDWLW
29 Octvs Castellón0–3L
25 Oct@ Real Madrid III2–0W
18 Octvs Atlético Paso2–2D
11 Octvs Albacete II4–0W
4 Oct@ A Madrid III2–3L
27 Sep@ Navalcarnero3–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

RSD Alcalá – last 6

DLDDLL
27 Octvs Las Palmas1–1D
24 Octvs SS Reyes1–2L
18 Octvs Real Madrid III0–0D
11 Oct@ Calvo Sotelo0–0D
4 Octvs Navalcarnero1–3L
27 Sep@ Salamanca UDS0–3L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Conquense and RSD Alcalá.

Conquense vs RSD Alcalá head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 5 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Numancia10541+1119
2Salamanca UDS10613+519
3SS Reyes10613+419
4Conquense9531+918
5A Madrid III10532+318
6Real Valladolid II10523+617
7Navalcarnero10442+316
8CF Talavera9432+315
9Guadalajara10343013
10Albacete II10334-1112
11Real Madrid III10253-111
12Atlético Tordesillas10244010
13RSD Alcalá10244-110
14Gimnástica Segoviana10244-110
15Atlético Paso10244-210
16Getafe II10154-48
17Real Ávila10217-107
18Calvo Sotelo10136-146

More Segunda División RFEF Group 5 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Conquense vs RSD Alcalá?

Our pick is Conquense to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Conquense vs RSD Alcalá?

On our numbers Conquense have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and RSD Alcalá 17%.

How many goals will there be in Conquense vs RSD Alcalá?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Conquense vs RSD Alcalá?

Our predicted score is Conquense 1–0 RSD Alcalá, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Conquense vs RSD Alcalá?

Conquense vs RSD Alcalá (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.