Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Navalcarnero to win @ 1.80 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNavalcarnero to win ✓64% · @1.80
Double chanceNavalcarnero or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Navalcarnero vs Atlético Paso: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Sunday 1 November: Navalcarnero v Atlético Paso in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5. In the table, Navalcarnero are 7th, upper half, on 16 points after 10 matches; Atlético Paso are 15th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Navalcarnero, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Numancia, away. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Atlético Paso, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Cordoba, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Navalcarnero 1.9 xG, Atlético Paso 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Navalcarnero 64%, draw 21%, Atlético Paso 15%.
Lower-risk option: Navalcarnero or draw (85%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Navalcarnero to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Navalcarnero or draw (85%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Navalcarnero 1–0 Atlético Paso. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Navalcarnero64%fair 1.57 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.20
Atlético Paso15%fair 6.66 · @4.00
2.69Expected goals
1.90Navalcarnero xG
0.79Atlético Paso xG
52%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Navalcarnero 1.9 – 0.8 Atlético Paso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Navalcarnero to win✓
64%
1.57
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Navalcarnero or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.83
Draw no bet
Navalcarnero (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Navalcarnero -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Navalcarnero to score first✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Navalcarnero ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Navalcarnero / FT Navalcarnero✓
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.33
–
Recent results
Navalcarnero – last 6
WDDDWW
24 Oct
@ Numancia
3–2
W
18 Oct
@ Salamanca UDS
1–1
D
14 Oct
@ Recreativo Huelva
2–2
D
11 Oct
vs A Madrid III
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ RSD Alcalá
3–1
W
30 Sep
vs Real Murcia
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Atlético Paso – last 6
WWDLWD
27 Oct
vs Cordoba
3–1
W
24 Oct
vs Real Ávila
3–0
W
18 Oct
@ Conquense
2–2
D
11 Oct
@ CF Talavera
1–2
L
3 Oct
vs Real Madrid III
1–0
W
27 Sep
@ Albacete II
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Navalcarnero and Atlético Paso.
What is the prediction for Navalcarnero vs Atlético Paso?
Our pick is Navalcarnero or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Navalcarnero vs Atlético Paso?
On our numbers Navalcarnero have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Atlético Paso 15%.
How many goals will there be in Navalcarnero vs Atlético Paso?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Navalcarnero vs Atlético Paso?
Our predicted score is Navalcarnero 1–0 Atlético Paso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Navalcarnero vs Atlético Paso?
Navalcarnero vs Atlético Paso (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
