Real Valladolid II v Getafe II: numbers & prediction

Real Valladolid II vs Getafe II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:00 WAT, Sunday 1 November: Real Valladolid II v Getafe II in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5. In the table, Real Valladolid II are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Getafe II are 16th (in the drop zone) with 8.

Current form

Real Valladolid II, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 4–4 draw with Guadalajara, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.

Getafe II, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Calvo Sotelo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Real Valladolid II, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Getafe II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Real Valladolid II 2.1 xG, Getafe II 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – Real Valladolid II 61%, draw 22%, Getafe II 17%.
• Lower-risk option: Real Valladolid II or draw (83%) at 1.30.
• GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
• Price worth noting: Real Valladolid II to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Real Valladolid II or draw (83%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Valladolid II 2–0 Getafe II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.