Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.31 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.31Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBorussia Dortmund to win ✓66% · @1.31
Double chanceBorussia Dortmund or draw ✓85% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Saturday 29 August: Borussia Dortmund v Hamburger SV in the Bundesliga, played at Signal Iduna Park. In the table, Borussia Dortmund are 2nd, among the top four, on 21 points after 9 matches; Hamburger SV are 11th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Borussia Dortmund, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Bayern München, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Hamburger SV, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Verl, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Momentum favours Hamburger SV, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Borussia Dortmund.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Borussia Dortmund 2.3 xG, Hamburger SV 1.0 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Borussia Dortmund 66%, draw 19%, Hamburger SV 15%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Borussia Dortmund to win (66%, odds 1.31). Most likely score in line with that pick: Borussia Dortmund 2–1 Hamburger SV. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Borussia Dortmund66%fair 1.52 · @1.31
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @5.10
Hamburger SV15%fair 6.61 · @9.00
3.28Expected goals
2.28Borussia Dortmund xG
1.01Hamburger SV xG
61%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Borussia Dortmund 2.3 – 1.0 Hamburger SV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Borussia Dortmund to win✓
66%
1.52
1.31
Double chance
Borussia Dortmund or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Borussia Dortmund (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Borussia Dortmund -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
First team to score
Borussia Dortmund to score first✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Borussia Dortmund ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Borussia Dortmund / FT Borussia Dortmund✓
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.22
–
Recent results
Borussia Dortmund – last 6
LDWWLL
22 Aug
vs Bayern München
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs AS Roma
2–2
D
9 Aug
@ Arsenal
3–2
W
1 Aug
@ FC Tokyo
1–0
W
29 Jul
@ Cerezo Osaka
0–1
L
25 Jul
@ Fortuna Düsseldorf
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hamburger SV – last 6
WWDLLW
24 Aug
@ Verl
3–0
W
15 Aug
@ Toulouse
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Lille
2–2
D
1 Aug
vs Everton
1–2
L
18 Jul
@ Rapid Vienna
2–3
L
10 May
vs SC Freiburg
3–2
W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Borussia Dortmund and Hamburger SV.
What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV?
Our pick is Borussia Dortmund to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV?
On our numbers Borussia Dortmund have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Hamburger SV 15%.
How many goals will there be in Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV?
Our predicted score is Borussia Dortmund 2–1 Hamburger SV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV?
Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Signal Iduna Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
