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RB Leipzig v Borussia Mönchengladbach: numbers & prediction

Bundesliga · Germany · Red Bull Arena
RB Leipzig 64%Draw 23%Borussia Mönchengladbach 13% Expected goals 2.33 – 1.02
64%
Betarazi pick

RB Leipzig to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultRB Leipzig to win ✓64% · @1.55
Double chanceRB Leipzig or draw ✓87% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Borussia Mönchengladbach travel to face RB Leipzig on Saturday 29 August in the Bundesliga, with Red Bull Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, RB Leipzig are 4th, among the top four, on 18 points after 9 matches; Borussia Mönchengladbach are 18th (in the drop zone) with 4. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

RB Leipzig, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Eintracht Trier, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Borussia Mönchengladbach, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Schott Mainz, away. Away from home the record reads 5 won, 0 lost from 5. The attack is flying at 4.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Borussia Mönchengladbach, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.0 for RB Leipzig.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give RB Leipzig 2.3 xG, Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.0 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – RB Leipzig 64%, draw 23%, Borussia Mönchengladbach 13%.
  • Lower-risk option: RB Leipzig or draw (87%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was RB Leipzig to win (64%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: RB Leipzig 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

RB Leipzig64%fair 1.56 · @1.55
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @4.35
Borussia Mönchengladbach13%fair 7.91 · @5.10
3.35Expected goals
2.33RB Leipzig xG
1.02Borussia Mönchengladbach xG
61%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–07%

From our goals model: RB Leipzig 2.3 – 1.0 Borussia Mönchengladbach expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRB Leipzig to win ✓64%1.561.55
Double chanceRB Leipzig or draw ✓87%1.141.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.651.53
Draw no betRB Leipzig (draw no bet) ✓84%1.20–
Asian handicapRB Leipzig -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.191.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.541.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓57%1.771.67
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓74%1.341.28
First team to scoreRB Leipzig to score first ✓67%1.49–
Half-time resultRB Leipzig ahead at half-time ✓49%2.03–
Half-time / full-timeHT RB Leipzig / FT RB Leipzig ✓44%2.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.29–

Recent results

RB Leipzig – last 6

WLLWWW
22 Aug@ Eintracht Trier6–0W
15 Aug@ Bayern München1–3L
8 Aug@ Leeds0–2L
1 Augvs Verl4–0W
25 Julvs FC Ingolstadt 041–0W
18 Jul@ Altglienicke2–1W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Borussia Mönchengladbach – last 6

WWWWWW
23 Aug@ Schott Mainz5–0W
15 Augvs Aston Villa2–1W
12 Aug@ SSVg Velbert8–0W
1 Aug@ Hansa Rostock3–1W
25 Jul@ Rot-Weiß Essen2–1W
18 Jul@ Wuppertaler SV6–0W
4.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between RB Leipzig and Borussia Mönchengladbach.

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach head-to-head page →

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bayern München9630+2021
2Borussia Dortmund9630+921
3SC Freiburg9612+1019
4RB Leipzig9603+1418
5Bayer Leverkusen9513+316
6Werder Bremen9432+215
7SV Elversberg9414-113
8VfB Stuttgart9405012
91899 Hoffenheim9405-112
10Eintracht Frankfurt9333-512
11Hamburger SV9405-1012
12FSV Mainz 059315-110
13SC Paderborn 079243-310
14FC Augsburg923409
151. FC Köln9234-49
16Union Berlin9144-147
17FC Schalke 049135-66
18Borussia Mönchengladbach9117-134

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

Our pick is RB Leipzig to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

On our numbers RB Leipzig have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Borussia Mönchengladbach 13%.

How many goals will there be in RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

Our predicted score is RB Leipzig 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Red Bull Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.