Double chanceBayer Leverkusen or draw ✓90% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.57
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗6% · fair 15.97
Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Union Berlin travel to face Bayer Leverkusen on Saturday 5 September in the Bundesliga, with BayArena the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Bayer Leverkusen are 5th, upper half, on 16 points after 9 matches; Union Berlin are 16th (in the drop zone) with 7.
Current form
Bayer Leverkusen, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to SV Elversberg, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Union Berlin, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Eintracht Frankfurt, at home. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Momentum favours Bayer Leverkusen, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Union Berlin.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Union Berlin 1–0 Bayer Leverkusen.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bayer Leverkusen 3.7 xG, Union Berlin 1.8 xG – a total near 5.5. That is an open game on paper: 91% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bayer Leverkusen 70%, draw 20%, Union Berlin 10%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bayer Leverkusen to win (70%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bayer Leverkusen 3–1 Union Berlin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bayer Leverkusen70%fair 1.44 · @1.44
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @4.60
Union Berlin10%fair 9.75 · @6.00
5.50Expected goals
3.73Bayer Leverkusen xG
1.77Union Berlin xG
67%Both score
91%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–16%
4–16%
3–26%
4–25%
2–15%
2–24%
From our goals model: Bayer Leverkusen 3.7 – 1.8 Union Berlin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin?
Our pick is Bayer Leverkusen to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin?
On our numbers Bayer Leverkusen have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Union Berlin 10%.
How many goals will there be in Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin?
We expect about 5.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 91% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin?
Our predicted score is Bayer Leverkusen 3–1 Union Berlin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.5 goals in total.
When is Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin?
Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at BayArena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
