Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
2
Value bet: SC Freiburg to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSC Freiburg to win ✓57% · @1.95
Double chanceSC Freiburg or draw ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.54
SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 5 September the Bundesliga brings SC Paderborn 07 against SC Freiburg at Home Deluxe Arena. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, SC Paderborn 07 are 13th, lower half, on 10 points after 9 matches; SC Freiburg are 3rd (among the top four) with 19.
Current form
SC Paderborn 07, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with FSV Mainz 05, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
SC Freiburg, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Werder Bremen, at home. Scoring is no problem – 3.5 a game lately.
Momentum favours SC Freiburg, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.7 for SC Paderborn 07.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SC Paderborn 07 0.9 xG, SC Freiburg 1.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SC Paderborn 07 21%, draw 22%, SC Freiburg 57%.
Lower-risk option: SC Freiburg or draw (79%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: SC Freiburg to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was SC Freiburg or draw (79%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.26, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: SC Paderborn 07 0–1 SC Freiburg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SC Paderborn 0721%fair 4.78 · @3.40
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.50
SC Freiburg57%fair 1.76 · @1.95
2.50Expected goals
0.86SC Paderborn 07 xG
1.64SC Freiburg xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–112%
0–211%
1–29%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: SC Paderborn 07 0.9 – 1.6 SC Freiburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SC Freiburg to win✓
57%
1.76
1.95 ▲
Double chance
SC Freiburg or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.57
Draw no bet
SC Freiburg (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
SC Paderborn 07 +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
SC Freiburg to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SC Freiburg / FT SC Freiburg✓
34%
2.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.54
–
Recent results
SC Paderborn 07 – last 6
DWDWDD
29 Aug
@ FSV Mainz 05
0–0
D
23 Aug
@ Phönix Lübeck
4–2
W
8 Aug
@ Werder Bremen
2–2
D
1 Aug
@ VfL Osnabrück
2–0
W
25 May
vs VfL Wolfsburg
1–1
D
21 May
@ VfL Wolfsburg
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
SC Freiburg – last 6
WWWWWW
30 Aug
vs Werder Bremen
4–1
W
27 Aug
vs Motherwell
4–1
W
23 Aug
@ Fortuna Düsseldorf
5–1
W
20 Aug
@ Motherwell
3–1
W
15 Aug
vs Crystal Palace
3–0
W
8 Aug
vs Strasbourg
2–0
W
3.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SC Paderborn 07 and SC Freiburg.
What is the prediction for SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg?
Our pick is SC Freiburg or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg?
On our numbers SC Paderborn 07 have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 22% and SC Freiburg 57%.
How many goals will there be in SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg?
Our predicted score is SC Paderborn 07 0–1 SC Freiburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg?
SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Home Deluxe Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
