Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultRB Leipzig to win ✗60% · @1.75
Double chanceRB Leipzig or draw ✗82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.56
Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 5 September the Bundesliga brings Werder Bremen against RB Leipzig at Weserstadion. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Werder Bremen are 6th, upper half, on 15 points after 9 matches; RB Leipzig are 4th (among the top four) with 18. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Werder Bremen, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to SC Freiburg, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
RB Leipzig, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Borussia Mönchengladbach, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Werder Bremen 1.4 xG, RB Leipzig 2.6 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Werder Bremen 18%, draw 23%, RB Leipzig 60%.
Lower-risk option: RB Leipzig or draw (82%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was RB Leipzig or draw (82%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Werder Bremen 1–2 RB Leipzig. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Werder Bremen18%fair 5.69 · @4.00
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.90
RB Leipzig60%fair 1.68 · @1.75
4.00Expected goals
1.43Werder Bremen xG
2.57RB Leipzig xG
66%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–37%
1–17%
2–26%
0–26%
2–35%
From our goals model: Werder Bremen 1.4 – 2.6 RB Leipzig expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
RB Leipzig to win✗
60%
1.68
1.75
Double chance
RB Leipzig or draw✗
82%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
1.44
Draw no bet
RB Leipzig (draw no bet)✗
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
RB Leipzig -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
RB Leipzig to score first✗
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
RB Leipzig ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT RB Leipzig / FT RB Leipzig✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.56
–
Recent results
Werder Bremen – last 6
LWLDWW
30 Aug
@ SC Freiburg
1–4
L
22 Aug
@ Lüneburger SK Hansa
3–0
W
15 Aug
vs Auxerre
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs SC Paderborn 07
2–2
D
1 Aug
@ Energie Cottbus
4–2
W
25 Jul
vs VfL Bochum
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
RB Leipzig – last 6
WWLLWW
29 Aug
vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
3–0
W
22 Aug
@ Eintracht Trier
6–0
W
15 Aug
@ Bayern München
1–3
L
8 Aug
@ Leeds
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Verl
4–0
W
25 Jul
vs FC Ingolstadt 04
1–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Werder Bremen and RB Leipzig.
What is the prediction for Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig?
Our pick is RB Leipzig or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig?
On our numbers Werder Bremen have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 23% and RB Leipzig 60%.
How many goals will there be in Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig?
Our predicted score is Werder Bremen 1–2 RB Leipzig, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig?
Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Weserstadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
