Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
Result1. FC Köln to win ✗44% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.97
Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hamburger SV welcome 1. FC Köln to Volksparkstadion for a Bundesliga fixture on Saturday 19 September (14:30 WAT). In the table, Hamburger SV are 11th, lower half, on 12 points after 9 matches; 1. FC Köln are 15th (lower half) with 9. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Hamburger SV, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to RB Leipzig, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
1. FC Köln, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Werder Bremen, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours 1. FC Köln, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Hamburger SV.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hamburger SV 1.9 xG, 1. FC Köln 2.1 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hamburger SV 35%, draw 21%, 1. FC Köln 44%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hamburger SV 1–2 1. FC Köln. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hamburger SV35%fair 2.86 · @2.62
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.40
1. FC Köln44%fair 2.30 · @2.40
4.00Expected goals
1.89Hamburger SV xG
2.111. FC Köln xG
67%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
1–17%
2–27%
2–17%
1–35%
2–35%
From our goals model: Hamburger SV 1.9 – 2.1 1. FC Köln expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
1. FC Köln to win✗
44%
2.30
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.48
1.50
Draw no bet
1. FC Köln (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Hamburger SV +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
1. FC Köln to score first✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
1. FC Köln ahead at half-time✗
36%
2.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT 1. FC Köln / FT 1. FC Köln✗
27%
3.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.97
–
Recent results
Hamburger SV – last 6
LLLWWD
13 Sep
@ RB Leipzig
0–5
L
6 Sep
vs FSV Mainz 05
0–5
L
29 Aug
@ Borussia Dortmund
0–2
L
24 Aug
@ Verl
3–0
W
15 Aug
@ Toulouse
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Lille
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
1. FC Köln – last 6
DLWWWD
12 Sep
vs Werder Bremen
1–1
D
4 Sep
@ VfB Stuttgart
1–4
L
29 Aug
vs 1899 Hoffenheim
3–2
W
24 Aug
@ Würzburger Kickers
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Real Sociedad
2–1
W
31 Jul
vs Hertha BSC
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hamburger SV and 1. FC Köln.
What is the prediction for Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln?
On our numbers Hamburger SV have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and 1. FC Köln 44%.
How many goals will there be in Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln?
Our predicted score is Hamburger SV 1–2 1. FC Köln, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln?
Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Volksparkstadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
