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Borussia Mönchengladbach v FSV Mainz 05: numbers & prediction

Bundesliga · Germany · Borussia-Park
Borussia Mönchengladbach 33%Draw 21%FSV Mainz 05 46% Expected goals 1.82 – 2.18
67%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultFSV Mainz 05 to win ✓46% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.63

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 19 September the Bundesliga brings Borussia Mönchengladbach against FSV Mainz 05 at Borussia-Park. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Borussia Mönchengladbach are 18th, in the drop zone, on 4 points after 9 matches; FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (lower half) with 10.

Current form

Borussia Mönchengladbach, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to SC Freiburg, away. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately.

FSV Mainz 05, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Eintracht Frankfurt, at home. 3.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours FSV Mainz 05, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Borussia Mönchengladbach.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.8 xG, FSV Mainz 05 2.2 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Borussia Mönchengladbach 33%, draw 21%, FSV Mainz 05 46%.
  • GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 FSV Mainz 05. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Borussia Mönchengladbach33%fair 3.08 · @2.88
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.50
FSV Mainz 0546%fair 2.16 · @2.20
4.00Expected goals
1.82Borussia Mönchengladbach xG
2.18FSV Mainz 05 xG
67%Both score
76%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–28%
1–17%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
2–35%

From our goals model: Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.8 – 2.2 FSV Mainz 05 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFSV Mainz 05 to win ✓46%2.162.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓67%1.491.44
Draw no betFSV Mainz 05 (draw no bet) ✓59%1.70–
Asian handicapBorussia Mönchengladbach +1 (Asian handicap)66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓57%1.77–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗63%1.59–
First team to scoreFSV Mainz 05 to score first53%1.87–
Half-time resultFSV Mainz 05 ahead at half-time ✓38%2.65–
Half-time / full-timeHT FSV Mainz 05 / FT FSV Mainz 05 ✓29%3.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.63–

Recent results

Borussia Mönchengladbach – last 6

LLLWWW
12 Sep@ SC Freiburg0–5L
5 Sepvs SV Elversberg3–4L
29 Aug@ RB Leipzig0–3L
23 Aug@ Schott Mainz5–0W
15 Augvs Aston Villa2–1W
12 Aug@ SSVg Velbert8–0W
3.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

FSV Mainz 05 – last 6

LWDWWW
12 Sepvs Eintracht Frankfurt1–3L
6 Sep@ Hamburger SV5–0W
29 Augvs SC Paderborn 070–0D
23 Aug@ Krieschow9–0W
15 Augvs Bournemouth2–1W
8 Augvs Paris FC4–0W
3.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Borussia Mönchengladbach and FSV Mainz 05.

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05 head-to-head page →

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bayern München9630+2021
2Borussia Dortmund9630+921
3SC Freiburg9612+1019
4RB Leipzig9603+1418
5Bayer Leverkusen9513+316
6Werder Bremen9432+215
7SV Elversberg9414-113
8VfB Stuttgart9405012
91899 Hoffenheim9405-112
10Eintracht Frankfurt9333-512
11Hamburger SV9405-1012
12FSV Mainz 059315-110
13SC Paderborn 079243-310
14FC Augsburg923409
151. FC Köln9234-49
16Union Berlin9144-147
17FC Schalke 049135-66
18Borussia Mönchengladbach9117-134

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05?

On our numbers Borussia Mönchengladbach have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FSV Mainz 05 46%.

How many goals will there be in Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05?

Our predicted score is Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 FSV Mainz 05, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05?

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05 (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Borussia-Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.