Value bet: FC Augsburg to win @ 1.83 – our chance 60% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFC Augsburg to win ✗60% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.17
FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Augsburg welcome Union Berlin to WWK Arena for a Bundesliga fixture on Saturday 24 October (14:30 WAT). In the table, FC Augsburg are 14th, lower half, on 9 points after 9 matches; Union Berlin are 16th (in the drop zone) with 7. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
FC Augsburg, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to SV Elversberg, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Union Berlin, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Borussia Dortmund, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Augsburg 2.6 xG, Union Berlin 1.6 xG – a total near 4.2. That is an open game on paper: 79% for three or more goals, 69% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Augsburg 60%, draw 20%, Union Berlin 21%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: FC Augsburg to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Augsburg 2–1 Union Berlin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Augsburg60%fair 1.68 · @1.83
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @3.80
Union Berlin21%fair 4.85 · @3.70
4.17Expected goals
2.62FC Augsburg xG
1.55Union Berlin xG
69%Both score
79%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
3–17%
2–26%
1–16%
3–26%
2–05%
From our goals model: FC Augsburg 2.6 – 1.6 Union Berlin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Augsburg to win✗
60%
1.68
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.46
1.44
Draw no bet
FC Augsburg (draw no bet)
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
FC Augsburg -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
–
First team to score
FC Augsburg to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
FC Augsburg ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Augsburg / FT FC Augsburg✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.17
–
Recent results
FC Augsburg – last 6
LDDLDW
17 Oct
@ SV Elversberg
3–4
L
10 Oct
vs Bayern München
2–2
D
2 Oct
vs Hertha BSC
2–2
D
19 Sep
@ Werder Bremen
2–3
L
12 Sep
vs Bayer Leverkusen
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Eintracht Frankfurt
4–1
W
2.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Union Berlin – last 6
DWLLLD
17 Oct
vs Borussia Dortmund
0–0
D
10 Oct
vs SV Elversberg
1–0
W
18 Sep
@ Bayern München
0–7
L
11 Sep
vs FC Schalke 04
1–3
L
5 Sep
@ Bayer Leverkusen
0–4
L
29 Aug
vs Eintracht Frankfurt
3–3
D
0.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Augsburg and Union Berlin.
What is the prediction for FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin?
On our numbers FC Augsburg have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Union Berlin 21%.
How many goals will there be in FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin?
Our predicted score is FC Augsburg 2–1 Union Berlin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin?
FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at WWK Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
