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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

SC Paderborn 07 v Hamburger SV: numbers & prediction

Bundesliga · Germany · Home Deluxe Arena
1–0
FT
SC Paderborn 07 46%Draw 21%Hamburger SV 33% Expected goals 1.61 – 1.31
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultSC Paderborn 07 to win ✓46% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.94

SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

SC Paderborn 07 welcome Hamburger SV to Home Deluxe Arena for a Bundesliga fixture on Saturday 24 October (14:30 WAT). In the table, SC Paderborn 07 are 13th, lower half, on 10 points after 9 matches; Hamburger SV are 11th (lower half) with 12. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

SC Paderborn 07, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Werder Bremen, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Hamburger SV, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over VfB Stuttgart, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Hamburger SV, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for SC Paderborn 07.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give SC Paderborn 07 1.6 xG, Hamburger SV 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – SC Paderborn 07 46%, draw 21%, Hamburger SV 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: SC Paderborn 07 1–1 Hamburger SV. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

SC Paderborn 0746%fair 2.17 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.60
Hamburger SV33%fair 3.03 · @3.00
2.92Expected goals
1.61SC Paderborn 07 xG
1.31Hamburger SV xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
0–17%
2–07%

From our goals model: SC Paderborn 07 1.6 – 1.3 Hamburger SV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSC Paderborn 07 to win ✓46%2.172.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.621.53
Draw no betSC Paderborn 07 (draw no bet) ✓58%1.72–
Asian handicapHamburger SV +1 (Asian handicap)71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.79–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scoreSC Paderborn 07 to score first ✓52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT SC Paderborn 07 / FT SC Paderborn 07 ✗27%3.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.94–

Recent results

SC Paderborn 07 – last 6

DLWWLL
17 Oct@ Werder Bremen2–2D
10 Octvs VfB Stuttgart0–2L
1 Oct@ DC United1–0W
20 Sepvs 1899 Hoffenheim3–1W
12 Sep@ Borussia Dortmund0–3L
5 Sepvs SC Freiburg0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Hamburger SV – last 6

WWWWLL
17 Octvs VfB Stuttgart1–0W
10 Oct@ 1899 Hoffenheim3–2W
4 Octvs FC Copenhagen2–0W
19 Sepvs 1. FC Köln2–1W
13 Sep@ RB Leipzig0–5L
6 Sepvs FSV Mainz 050–5L
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between SC Paderborn 07 and Hamburger SV.

SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV head-to-head page →

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bayern München9630+2021
2Borussia Dortmund9630+921
3SC Freiburg9612+1019
4RB Leipzig9603+1418
5Bayer Leverkusen9513+316
6Werder Bremen9432+215
7SV Elversberg9414-113
8VfB Stuttgart9405012
91899 Hoffenheim9405-112
10Eintracht Frankfurt9333-512
11Hamburger SV9405-1012
12FSV Mainz 059315-110
13SC Paderborn 079243-310
14FC Augsburg923409
151. FC Köln9234-49
16Union Berlin9144-147
17FC Schalke 049135-66
18Borussia Mönchengladbach9117-134

More Bundesliga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV?

On our numbers SC Paderborn 07 have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hamburger SV 33%.

How many goals will there be in SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV?

Our predicted score is SC Paderborn 07 1–1 Hamburger SV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV?

SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Home Deluxe Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.