Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 57% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSporting CP to win ✗70% · @1.23
Double chanceSporting CP or draw ✓89% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Estrela vs Sporting CP: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Estrela welcome Sporting CP for a Primeira Liga fixture on Saturday 8 August (20:30 WAT). In the table, Estrela are 12th, lower half, on 10 points after 11 matches; Sporting CP are 3rd (among the top four) with 24. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Estrela, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Al-Nassr, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sporting CP, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Nottingham Forest, at home. Scoring is no problem – 3.7 a game lately.
Momentum favours Sporting CP, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for Estrela.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estrela 1.0 xG, Sporting CP 2.3 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estrela 11%, draw 19%, Sporting CP 70%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sporting CP to win (70%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estrela 0–2 Sporting CP. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estrela11%fair 8.74 · @13.00
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @5.60
Sporting CP70%fair 1.44 · @1.23
3.27Expected goals
0.95Estrela xG
2.32Sporting CP xG
57%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–18%
0–38%
1–38%
From our goals model: Estrela 1.0 – 2.3 Sporting CP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting CP to win✗
70%
1.44
1.23
Double chance
Sporting CP or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Sporting CP (draw no bet)
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Sporting CP -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
First team to score
Sporting CP to score first
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Sporting CP ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting CP / FT Sporting CP✗
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.28
–
Recent results
Estrela – last 6
WDWLWD
1 Aug
vs Al-Nassr
4–2
W
29 Jul
@ Maritimo
1–1
D
23 Jul
vs Nacional
2–0
W
18 Jul
vs Casa Pia
1–2
L
15 Jul
vs Naval 1893
2–0
W
11 May
vs Famalicao
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sporting CP – last 6
WWWWDW
31 Jul
vs Nottingham Forest
4–1
W
25 Jul
vs Monaco
2–0
W
20 Jul
vs Strasbourg
7–0
W
14 Jul
vs Celtic
4–1
W
24 May
vs Torreense
1–1
D
11 May
@ Rio Ave
4–1
W
3.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estrela and Sporting CP.
What is the prediction for Estrela vs Sporting CP?
Our pick is Sporting CP to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Estrela vs Sporting CP?
On our numbers Estrela have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sporting CP 70%.
How many goals will there be in Estrela vs Sporting CP?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estrela vs Sporting CP?
Our predicted score is Estrela 0–2 Sporting CP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Estrela vs Sporting CP?
Estrela vs Sporting CP (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
