Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Famalicao to win @ 1.76 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFamalicao to win ✗64% · @1.76
Double chanceFamalicao or draw ✗86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.07
Famalicao vs Maritimo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Famalicao welcome Maritimo to Estádio Municipal de Famalicão for a Primeira Liga fixture on Sunday 16 August (20:30 WAT). In the table, Famalicao are 10th, lower half, on 13 points after 11 matches; Maritimo are 15th (lower half) with 8.
Current form
Famalicao, last 5: DLWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Estoril, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Maritimo, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Casa Pia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Famalicao 1.5 xG, Maritimo 0.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Famalicao 64%, draw 22%, Maritimo 14%.
Lower-risk option: Famalicao or draw (86%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Famalicao to win @1.76 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Famalicao 1–0 Maritimo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Famalicao64%fair 1.56 · @1.76
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.55
Maritimo14%fair 7.04 · @4.55
2.01Expected goals
1.50Famalicao xG
0.50Maritimo xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
2–015%
0–013%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Famalicao 1.5 – 0.5 Maritimo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Famalicao to win✗
64%
1.56
1.76 ▲
Double chance
Famalicao or draw✗
86%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.90
Draw no bet
Famalicao (draw no bet)✗
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Famalicao -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.75 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.08
First team to score
Famalicao to score first
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Famalicao / FT Famalicao✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.07
–
Recent results
Famalicao – last 6
DLWDDW
7 Aug
@ Estoril
1–1
D
31 Jul
vs Como
2–3
L
25 Jul
vs Tondela
1–0
W
22 Jul
vs Arouca
0–0
D
18 Jul
vs Penafiel
0–0
D
15 Jul
vs Lusitânia Lourosa
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Maritimo – last 6
WDDWLW
8 Aug
vs Casa Pia
1–0
W
29 Jul
vs Estrela
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Machico
0–0
D
22 Jul
vs Camacha
2–0
W
17 Jul
vs Leixoes
1–5
L
14 Jul
vs AVS
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Famalicao and Maritimo.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Famalicao vs Maritimo?
On our numbers Famalicao have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Maritimo 14%.
How many goals will there be in Famalicao vs Maritimo?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Famalicao vs Maritimo?
Our predicted score is Famalicao 1–0 Maritimo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Famalicao vs Maritimo?
Famalicao vs Maritimo (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Municipal de Famalicão.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
