GIL Vicente 62%Draw 22%Maritimo 16%Expected goals 1.67 – 0.69
84%
Betarazi pick
GIL Vicente or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: GIL Vicente to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGIL Vicente to win ✗62% · @1.91
Double chanceGIL Vicente or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.00
GIL Vicente vs Maritimo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
GIL Vicente welcome Maritimo to Estadio Cidade de Barcelos for a Primeira Liga fixture on Saturday 19 September (15:30 WAT). In the table, GIL Vicente are 7th, upper half, on 18 points after 11 matches; Maritimo are 15th (lower half) with 8.
Current form
GIL Vicente, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Benfica, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Maritimo, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Moreirense, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give GIL Vicente 1.7 xG, Maritimo 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – GIL Vicente 62%, draw 22%, Maritimo 16%.
Lower-risk option: GIL Vicente or draw (84%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: GIL Vicente to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was GIL Vicente or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: GIL Vicente 1–0 Maritimo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
GIL Vicente62%fair 1.62 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.25
Maritimo16%fair 6.21 · @3.90
2.36Expected goals
1.67GIL Vicente xG
0.69Maritimo xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: GIL Vicente 1.7 – 0.7 Maritimo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GIL Vicente to win✗
62%
1.62
1.91 ▲
Double chance
GIL Vicente or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
2.00
Draw no bet
GIL Vicente (draw no bet)
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
GIL Vicente -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
GIL Vicente to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GIL Vicente / FT GIL Vicente✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.00
–
Recent results
GIL Vicente – last 6
LLDWWD
13 Sep
@ Benfica
1–3
L
6 Sep
vs Academico Viseu
0–1
L
30 Aug
@ Famalicao
0–0
D
24 Aug
vs Casa Pia
2–0
W
9 Aug
vs Rio Ave
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Moreirense
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Maritimo – last 6
LLLDWW
14 Sep
@ Moreirense
1–3
L
5 Sep
vs Benfica
0–3
L
29 Aug
@ Arouca
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Academico Viseu
2–2
D
16 Aug
@ Famalicao
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Casa Pia
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between GIL Vicente and Maritimo.
What is the prediction for GIL Vicente vs Maritimo?
Our pick is GIL Vicente or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win GIL Vicente vs Maritimo?
On our numbers GIL Vicente have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Maritimo 16%.
How many goals will there be in GIL Vicente vs Maritimo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for GIL Vicente vs Maritimo?
Our predicted score is GIL Vicente 1–0 Maritimo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is GIL Vicente vs Maritimo?
GIL Vicente vs Maritimo (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cidade de Barcelos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
