Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 10.49
Sporting CP vs Arouca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Arouca travel to face Sporting CP on Saturday 19 September in the Primeira Liga – the ball rolls at 20:30 WAT. In the table, Sporting CP are 3rd, among the top four, on 24 points after 11 matches; Arouca are 5th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
Sporting CP, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Famalicao, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Arouca, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Santa Clara, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sporting CP, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for Arouca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting CP 2.1 xG, Arouca 0.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting CP 72%, draw 15%, Arouca 13%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (53%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting CP 2–0 Arouca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting CP72%fair 1.38 · @1.18
Draw15%fair 6.57 · @6.50
Arouca13%fair 7.96 · @13.00
2.83Expected goals
2.13Sporting CP xG
0.70Arouca xG
47%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sporting CP 2.1 – 0.7 Arouca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting CP to win✗
72%
1.38
1.18
Double chance
Sporting CP or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.04
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.85
Draw no bet
Sporting CP (draw no bet)
85%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Sporting CP -1 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Sporting CP to score first✓
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Sporting CP ahead at half-time✓
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting CP / FT Sporting CP✗
46%
2.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
10%
10.49
–
Recent results
Sporting CP – last 6
DWWWWW
13 Sep
@ Famalicao
1–1
D
9 Sep
vs Galatasaray
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Nacional
2–0
W
28 Aug
@ Rio Ave
4–0
W
22 Aug
vs Alverca
3–1
W
14 Aug
vs Vitória SC
3–2
W
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Arouca – last 6
LDWLWW
13 Sep
vs Santa Clara
1–2
L
7 Sep
@ Estoril
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Maritimo
2–1
W
23 Aug
@ FC Porto
0–2
L
16 Aug
vs Moreirense
4–0
W
8 Aug
@ Guimaraes
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting CP and Arouca.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Sporting CP vs Arouca?
On our numbers Sporting CP have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Arouca 13%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting CP vs Arouca?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting CP vs Arouca?
Our predicted score is Sporting CP 2–0 Arouca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sporting CP vs Arouca?
Sporting CP vs Arouca (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
