Value bet: Estoril to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEstoril to win ✗56% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.68
Estoril vs Moreirense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Estoril welcome Moreirense to Estádio António Coimbra da Mota for a Primeira Liga fixture on Sunday 25 October (16:30 WAT). In the table, Estoril are 18th, in the drop zone, on 2 points after 10 matches; Moreirense are 9th (upper half) with 14. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Estoril, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Salgueiros, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Moreirense, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to AVS, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Apr 2026) it ended Moreirense 1–0 Estoril.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estoril 1.6 xG, Moreirense 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estoril 56%, draw 22%, Moreirense 22%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Estoril to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estoril 1–1 Moreirense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estoril56%fair 1.77 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.40
Moreirense22%fair 4.53 · @3.75
2.44Expected goals
1.58Estoril xG
0.86Moreirense xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Estoril 1.6 – 0.9 Moreirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Estoril vs Moreirense?
On our numbers Estoril have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Moreirense 22%.
How many goals will there be in Estoril vs Moreirense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estoril vs Moreirense?
Our predicted score is Estoril 1–1 Moreirense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Estoril vs Moreirense?
Estoril vs Moreirense (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
