Nacional 13%Draw 22%SC Braga 66%Expected goals 0.81 – 2.07
66%
Betarazi pick
SC Braga to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultSC Braga to win ✗66% · @1.55
Double chanceSC Braga or draw ✗87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Nacional vs SC Braga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 25 October the Primeira Liga brings Nacional against SC Braga. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Nacional are 13th, lower half, on 10 points after 11 matches; SC Braga are 8th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
Nacional, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sanjoanense, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
SC Braga, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Gent, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours SC Braga, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.0 for Nacional.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nacional 0.8 xG, SC Braga 2.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nacional 13%, draw 22%, SC Braga 66%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was SC Braga to win (66%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nacional 0–2 SC Braga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nacional13%fair 8.00 · @5.50
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.90
SC Braga66%fair 1.52 · @1.55
2.88Expected goals
0.81Nacional xG
2.07SC Braga xG
55%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Nacional 0.8 – 2.1 SC Braga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SC Braga to win✗
66%
1.52
1.55
Double chance
SC Braga or draw✗
87%
1.14
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
SC Braga (draw no bet)✗
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
SC Braga -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
First team to score
SC Braga to score first✗
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
SC Braga ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SC Braga / FT SC Braga✗
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.28
–
Recent results
Nacional – last 6
LLLLLL
17 Oct
@ Sanjoanense
0–1
L
11 Oct
@ Rio Ave
2–3
L
19 Sep
vs Famalicao
0–4
L
12 Sep
vs Alverca
1–3
L
5 Sep
@ Sporting CP
0–2
L
30 Aug
vs Estrela
2–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
SC Braga – last 6
WLLLDW
22 Oct
vs Gent
2–0
W
19 Oct
vs GIL Vicente
1–2
L
15 Oct
@ FC Copenhagen
0–3
L
9 Oct
vs Sporting CP
1–3
L
20 Sep
@ Santa Clara
0–0
D
14 Sep
vs Estoril
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nacional and SC Braga.
Our pick is SC Braga to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Nacional vs SC Braga?
On our numbers Nacional have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 22% and SC Braga 66%.
How many goals will there be in Nacional vs SC Braga?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nacional vs SC Braga?
Our predicted score is Nacional 0–2 SC Braga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Nacional vs SC Braga?
Nacional vs SC Braga (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
