Rio Ave 27%Draw 23%Famalicao 50%Expected goals 1.18 – 1.70
61%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultFamalicao to win ✓50% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Rio Ave vs Famalicao: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Sunday 25 October: Rio Ave v Famalicao in the Primeira Liga. In the table, Rio Ave are 17th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 11 matches; Famalicao are 10th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Rio Ave, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Louletano, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Famalicao, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Paredes, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rio Ave 1.2 xG, Famalicao 1.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rio Ave 27%, draw 23%, Famalicao 50%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rio Ave 1–1 Famalicao. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rio Ave27%fair 3.72 · @3.60
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.20
Famalicao50%fair 1.99 · @2.00
2.88Expected goals
1.18Rio Ave xG
1.70Famalicao xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–210%
0–110%
0–28%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Rio Ave 1.2 – 1.7 Famalicao expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Famalicao to win✓
50%
1.99
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Famalicao (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Rio Ave +1 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
First team to score
Famalicao to score first✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Famalicao / FT Famalicao✗
30%
3.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.43
–
Recent results
Rio Ave – last 6
WWLDLL
17 Oct
@ Louletano
1–0
W
11 Oct
vs Nacional
3–2
W
19 Sep
@ Alverca
0–1
L
14 Sep
vs Estrela
3–3
D
6 Sep
@ Santa Clara
0–4
L
28 Aug
vs Sporting CP
0–4
L
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Famalicao – last 6
LLWDDD
18 Oct
@ Paredes
0–1
L
12 Oct
vs Alverca
1–4
L
19 Sep
@ Nacional
4–0
W
13 Sep
vs Sporting CP
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Estrela
2–2
D
30 Aug
vs GIL Vicente
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rio Ave and Famalicao.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Rio Ave vs Famalicao?
On our numbers Rio Ave have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Famalicao 50%.
How many goals will there be in Rio Ave vs Famalicao?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rio Ave vs Famalicao?
Our predicted score is Rio Ave 1–1 Famalicao, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Rio Ave vs Famalicao?
Rio Ave vs Famalicao (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
