Value bet: Maritimo to win @ 3.60 – our chance 30% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultEstoril to win47% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.82
Estoril vs Maritimo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:30 WAT, Sunday 8 November: Estoril v Maritimo in the Primeira Liga, played at Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota. In the table, Estoril are 18th, in the drop zone, on 2 points after 10 matches; Maritimo are 15th (lower half) with 8.
Current form
Estoril, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to FC Porto, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Maritimo, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Santa Clara, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Maritimo, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.2 for Estoril.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estoril 1.5 xG, Maritimo 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estoril 47%, draw 23%, Maritimo 30%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Maritimo to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 30%.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estoril 1–1 Maritimo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estoril47%fair 2.11 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.30
Maritimo30%fair 3.35 · @3.60
2.69Expected goals
1.54Estoril xG
1.15Maritimo xG
61%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Estoril 1.5 – 1.2 Maritimo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estoril to win
47%
2.11
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
61%
1.65
1.70
Draw no bet
Estoril (draw no bet)
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Maritimo +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
50%
1.99
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
86%
1.16
1.11
First team to score
Estoril to score first
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estoril / FT Estoril
28%
3.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.82
–
Recent results
Estoril – last 6
LLDLLL
31 Oct
@ FC Porto
0–4
L
25 Oct
vs Moreirense
1–3
L
18 Oct
@ Salgueiros
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Academico Viseu
1–2
L
20 Sep
vs Casa Pia
1–2
L
14 Sep
@ SC Braga
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Maritimo – last 6
LLLWLD
1 Nov
vs Santa Clara
0–2
L
27 Oct
@ Sporting CP
1–2
L
23 Oct
@ Vitória SC
0–5
L
18 Oct
@ Alcochetense
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs FC Porto
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ GIL Vicente
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estoril and Maritimo.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Estoril vs Maritimo?
On our numbers Estoril have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Maritimo 30%.
How many goals will there be in Estoril vs Maritimo?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estoril vs Maritimo?
Our predicted score is Estoril 1–1 Maritimo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Estoril vs Maritimo?
Estoril vs Maritimo (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
