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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vitória SC v FC Porto: numbers & prediction

Primeira Liga · Portugal
1–2
FT
Vitória SC 11%Draw 21%FC Porto 68% Expected goals 0.63 – 1.96
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultFC Porto to win ✓68% · @1.53
Double chanceFC Porto or draw ✓89% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.00

Vitória SC vs FC Porto: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Vitória SC welcome FC Porto for a Primeira Liga fixture on Sunday 8 November (19:00 WAT). In the table, Vitória SC are 14th, lower half, on 9 points after 11 matches; FC Porto are 1st (leading the league) with 33. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Vitória SC, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with GIL Vicente, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

FC Porto, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Napoli, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours FC Porto, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Vitória SC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vitória SC 0.6 xG, FC Porto 2.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vitória SC 11%, draw 21%, FC Porto 68%.
  • Lower-risk option: FC Porto or draw (89%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vitória SC 0–2 FC Porto. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vitória SC11%fair 9.39 · @5.75
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @4.20
FC Porto68%fair 1.46 · @1.53
2.59Expected goals
0.63Vitória SC xG
1.96FC Porto xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
0–214%
0–39%
1–19%
1–29%
0–08%

From our goals model: Vitória SC 0.6 – 2.0 FC Porto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Porto to win ✓68%1.461.53
Double chanceFC Porto or draw ✓89%1.121.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.861.95
Draw no betFC Porto (draw no bet) ✓87%1.16–
Asian handicapFC Porto -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.351.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%1.981.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.401.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.161.12
First team to scoreFC Porto to score first ✓70%1.43–
Half-time resultFC Porto ahead at half-time ✓48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Porto / FT FC Porto ✓44%2.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9%11.00–

Recent results

Vitória SC – last 6

DWWLDL
2 Nov@ GIL Vicente0–0D
23 Octvs Maritimo5–0W
17 Oct@ Recreativa de Lamelas1–0W
11 Oct@ Benfica0–2L
20 Sepvs Moreirense1–1D
12 Sep@ Academico Viseu1–2L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

FC Porto – last 6

WWWWLL
4 Novvs Napoli4–1W
31 Octvs Estoril4–0W
28 Octvs Academico Viseu1–0W
24 Oct@ GIL Vicente1–0W
20 Octvs PSV Eindhoven0–1L
14 Oct@ Real Betis2–3L
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Vitória SC and FC Porto.

Vitória SC vs FC Porto head-to-head page →

Primeira Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Porto111100+2233
2Benfica11911+2028
3Sporting CP11731+1324
4Santa Clara11632+821
5Arouca11623+520
6Academico Viseu11623+220
7GIL Vicente11533+218
8SC Braga11524+217
9Moreirense11425-514
10Famalicao11344+113
11Alverca11335-112
12Estrela11245-510
13Nacional11317-810
14Vitória SC11236-19
15Maritimo10226-128
16Casa Pia11227-148
17Rio Ave11218-157
18Estoril10028-142

More Primeira Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vitória SC vs FC Porto?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Vitória SC vs FC Porto?

On our numbers Vitória SC have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Porto 68%.

How many goals will there be in Vitória SC vs FC Porto?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vitória SC vs FC Porto?

Our predicted score is Vitória SC 0–2 FC Porto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Vitória SC vs FC Porto?

Vitória SC vs FC Porto (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.